Health Care and IT: The Long Road to Wellness

HealthCareIT_Cartoon“The development of our information processing industry is basically governed by longer term super-cycles… Analyses of what computational environments will facilitate can be mind-boggling. To offer just one example, health care delivery will be revolutionized by 1990, with most large metropolitan areas having implemented vertically-integrated health facilities coordinated by computer… [including] physicians’ offices, neighborhood health care centers, hospitals, university medical centers, nursing homes, rehabilitation centers and home health care”–Gideon Gartner, 1978

“Health care lags behind other industries in adopting information technology by as much as 10–15 years… In 2020, a forecast of widespread use of computers in health care within 15 years might finally be valid”–Peter Goldschmidt, 2005

“As Medicare chief, [Dr. Donald M. Berwick] has pushed doctors and hospitals to adopt electronic health records, merge their operations and coordinate care to eliminate medical errors that kill thousands of patients each year. If his estimate is right, Medicare and Medicaid could save $150 billion to $250 billion a year by eliminating waste, which he defines as ‘activities that don’t have any value.’”–Robert Pear, “Health Official Takes Parting Shot at ‘Waste’,” The New Work Times, December 3, 2011

“The controversy and contradictions started when Thomas Eric Duncan first was admitted to the emergency department at Texas Health Presbyterian Hospital Dallas Sept. 25. He told his nurse he had been in Africa prior to his arrival in the U.S. The information, THR officials say, was entered into the EHR, but the information somehow did not reach the appropriate clinicians. Duncan was then discharged from the ER that day, only to return to the hospital’s ER four days later, where he was then diagnosed with the Ebola virus. THR declined to comment further. The chain of events has sparked public debate amongst clinicians and IT professionals over whose mistake caused the failure to communicate Duncan’s critical travel history to physicians.”–Erin McCann, HealthcareIT News, October 6, 2014

“A 2013 RAND survey of physicians found mixed reactions to electronic health record systems, including widespread dissatisfaction. Many respondents cited poor usability, time-consuming data entry, needless alerts and poor work flows…  Even in preventing medical mistakes — a central rationale for computerization — technology has let us down. A recent study of more than one million medication errors reported to a national database between 2003 and 2010 found that 6 percent were related to the computerized prescribing system… The unanticipated consequences of health information technology are of particular interest today. In the past five years about $30 billion of federal incentive payments have succeeded in rapidly raising the adoption rate of electronic health records. This computerization of health care has been like a car whose spinning tires have finally gained purchase. We were so accustomed to staying still that we were utterly unprepared for that first lurch forward.”–Robert M. Wachter, The New York Times, March 22, 2015

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The Apple Watch, Uber, and Robotic Car Service

apple-watch-uberTech Crunch: “When you open the Uber app on your Apple Watch, it goes straight to a screen showing how long it’ll be until a car can come get you — no pulling out your phone to drop pins or choose between Uber X, Uber Pool, or black car service.”

The efficiencies of ride sharing will get another boost, on the supply side, when Uber and Google will substitute robots for drivers. Here’s the forecast from ABI:

Car and ride sharing is just one example of the new on-demand economy allowing real-time matching of supply and demand through connected smartphone applications. According to ABI Research, successive forms of vehicle sharing approaches represent paradigm shifts in uptake and popularity; each new generation seeing adoption rates at least an order of magnitude larger than the previous:

  • Car Sharing 1.0 – Street Rental Service: Cars parked on the street can be located, unlocked, used, and left behind. Examples: Zipcar, car2go, DriveNow.
  • Car Sharing 2.0 – Ride Sharing Taxi Service and Carpooling: Private drivers picking up customers using their privately owned vehicles. Examples: Uber, Lyft, Sidecar, Carpooling.com, BlaBlaCar.
  • Car Sharing 3.0 – Robotic Car Service: Driverless cars which can be called remotely and used without a driver on board.

ABI-RideSharing-Forecast

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Big Data and Healthcare (Infographic)

Health_BigData_Infographic

From Steve Lohr’s @SteveLohr profile of Jeff Hammerbacher  in the New York Times

On the Case at Mount Sinai, It’s Dr. Data

Jeffrey Hammerbacher is a number cruncher — a Harvard math major who went from a job as a Wall Street quant to a key role at Facebook to a founder of a successful data start-up.

But five years ago, he was given a diagnosis of bipolar disorder, a crisis that fueled in him a fierce curiosity in medicine — about how the body and brain work and why they sometimes fail. The more he read and talked to experts, the more he became convinced that medicine needed people like him: skilled practitioners of data science who could guide scientific discovery and decision-making.

Now Mr. Hammerbacher, 32, is on the faculty of the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, despite the fact that he has no academic training in medicine or biology. He is there because the school has begun an ambitious, well-funded initiative to apply data science to medicine.  …

Jeffrey Hammerbacher now leads a team that uses quantitative skills to improve medical treatments. His move from the start-up world was inspired by his own health crisis.

“We’re pursuing problems that are computationally and intellectually exciting, and where there is the potential to change how doctors treat patients in two or three years,” Mr. Hammerbacher said.

Eric Schadt, the computational biologist who recruited Mr. Hammerbacher to Mount Sinai, says the goal is to transform medicine into an information science, where data and computing are marshaled to deliver breakthroughs in the treatment of cancer, Alzheimer’s, diabetes and other chronic diseases. Mount Sinai is only one of several major medical schools turning to data science as a big part of the future of medicine and health care.

They are reaching out to people like Mr. Hammerbacher, whose career arc traces the evolution of data science as it has spread across the economy. After a job designing trading models at Bear Stearns, he worked for a few important years at Facebook, where he started the social network’s data team and made his reputation and a tidy sum. Next, he was one of four founders of Cloudera, a fast-growing company that makes software tools for data science. And now he is immersed in medicine.  …

Dr. Schadt had concluded that medicine was ripe for a data-driven revolution. Chronic diseases, Dr. Schadt explained, are not caused by single genes, but are “complex networked disorders” involving genetics, but also patient characteristics such as weight, age, gender, vital signs, tobacco use, toxic exposure and exercise routines — all of which can be captured as data and modeled.

“We are trying to move medicine in the direction of climatology and physics; disciplines that are far more advanced and mature quantitatively,” he said.

That message resonated with Mr. Hammerbacher. By 2013 he was spending most of his time in New York rather than on the West Coast, assembling a research team that now numbers 10 people. Their expertise spans the breadth of data science: machine learning, data visualization, statistics and programming.

His group’s objective is to alter how doctors treat patients someday. For example, Mount Sinai medical researchers have done promising work on personalized cancer treatments. It involves the genetic sequencing of a patient’s healthy cells and cancer tumor. Once the misbehaving gene cluster is identified and analyzed, it is targeted with tailored therapies, drugs or vaccines that stimulate the body’s defenses.

Mr. Hammerbacher’s team does not do the basic science. Other researchers do that. His group works on the “computational pipeline,” he said, with the goal of making personalized cancer treatments more automated and thus more affordable and practical. “It’s ultimately what cancer cures are going to look like,” he said.

The road to technology revolutions is paved with failure, halting progress and hard work. Mr. Hammerbacher and his colleagues are engaged in pathbreaking yet often frustrating data science work.

He is optimistic about his initiative’s prospects, but has come to appreciate that the mysteries of the human body may be more resistant to math than finance or social networks are. Today he speaks less about quants taking over than about their lending a hand. “We’re not the most important people,” he said, “but we can help.”

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The Age of Context Quantified

AmbientIntelligence

 

Ambient intelligence is a relatively new term in the technology lexicon, yet ABI Research forecasts that it will become the major evolution in technology-based consumer services and quality of life applications over the next 10 years. Essentially, ambient intelligence is the ability of a system to appreciate its environment, be aware of the user (and other people / objects) within that environment and most importantly, interpret and respond to their needs, unprompted.

Senior Analyst Patrick Connolly comments, “In technology terms ambient intelligence is the unification of hot new areas such as neural networks, big data, IoT, connected home, wearables, device user interfaces, and health / fitness, into services that can automate processes and make recommendations to improve the users quality of life. A major aspect in enabling this is the arrival of new location technologies such as BLE beacons, LED / VLC, sensor / data fusion, LTE-direct, Wi-Fi 2.0, etc.”

“The applications of ambient intelligence are multitude, but on the consumer side, the big drive is the battle for next generation search and evolved personal assistant applications that can predict the needs of their users and make changes / recommendations to facilitate these needs. From an application point of view, ABI Research forecasts over 8 billion ambient intelligence related application downloads in 2020, primarily focused on personal assistant, social, health / fitness, augmented reality, and local search / discovery applications.”

These findings are part of ABI Research’s Location Based Services Market Research.

Ambient Intelligence or what Robert Scoble and Shel Israel call The Age of Context:

[slideshare id=39285195&doc=samsungscoble-140919063950-phpapp01]

 

 

 

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Growing the digital business (infographic)

14-6325 - Mobility Research Infographic_v10

 

Source: Accenture Mobility Research 2015

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Net Neutrality Means Different Things to Different People (Infographic)

net-neutrality-definedSource: Defining Net Neutrality Without the Politics and Net Neutrality’s Technical Troubles

 

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3 Database Admins Walked into a NoSQL Bar…

NoSQL bar Joke

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15 Most-Funded Crowdfunding Projects On Kickstarter And Indiegogo

Coolest 3-4 Prototype 11_15_142014 was a great year for crowdfunding. Kickstarter had 22,252 projects raising a total of $529 million, up from $480 million raised in 2013. Indiegogo had 1,000% increase in funds raised over the past two years and both Indiegogo and Kickstarter had their most-funded projects ever in 2014.

This year is already shaping up as the greatest ever for the young industry, with three 2015 projects already making it to the list of 15 most-funded crowdfunding projects on Kicstarter and Indeigogo:

1.            $13,285,226  from 62,642 funders August 2014 (Kickstarter)

Coolest Cooler: 21st Century cooler that’s actually cooler, complete with built-in ice crushing blender, a waterproof bluetooth speaker and a USB charger.

2.            $10,266,845 from 68,929 funders May 2012 (Kickstarter)

Pebble: E-paper watch for iPhone and Android, customizable watch with downloadable watchfaces, sports and fitness apps, notifications from mobile phone.

3.            $8,782,571 from 219,382 funders February 2015 (Kickstarter)

Exploding Kittens: A card game for people who are into kittens and explosions and laser beams and sometimes goats.

4.            $8,596,474 from 63,416 funders August 2012 (Kickstarter)

OUYA: A new kind of video game console, cracking open the last closed platform, the TV; a beautiful, affordable console, built on Android.

5.            $6,225,354 from 18,220 funders April 2014 (Kickstarter)

Pono Music: Where your soul rediscovers music, providing the best possible listening experience of your favorite digital music. With the PonoPlayer, you can finally feel the master in all its glory, in its native resolution, CD quality or higher, the way the artist made it, exactly.

6.            $5,702,153 from 91,585 funders April 2013 (Kickstarter)

The Veronica Mars Movie Project, a feature film version of the defunct television series.

7.            $5,408,916 from 105,857 funders July 2014 (Kickstarter)

Bring Reading Rainbow Back for Every Child, Everywhere! Bring Reading Rainbow’s library of interactive books & video field trips to more platforms & provide free access to classrooms in need.

8.            $5,022,041 (including $2.5 million matched contributions) from 2,801 funders December 2014 (indiegogo)

Code.org, introducing coding to 100 million students.

9.            $4,188,927 from 74,405 funders April 2013 (Kickstarter)

Torment: Tides of Numenera, a story-driven Computer Role-Playing Game (CRPG) set in the world of Monte Cook’s Numenera.

10.          $3,986,929 from 73,986 funders October 2012 (Kickstarter)

Project Eternity, an isometric, party-based computer RPG set in a new fantasy world.

11.          $3,845,170 from 67,226 funders October 2013 (Kickstarter)

Mighty No. 9, a video game

12.          $3,602,037 from 12,075 funders January 2015 (Kickstarter)

ZANO, the world’s most sophisticated nano drone.

Sondors_Bike13.          $3,576,151+ from 6,548 funders ends March 3, 2015 (Indiegogo)

Sondors Electric Bike, the world’s most affordable, versatile electric bike.

14.          $3,429,235 from 17,744 funders August 2012 (Kickstarter)

Reaper Miniatures Bone: Gaming miniatures.

15.          $3,401,361 from 11,855 funders May 2014 (Kickstarter)

The Micro: The first truly consumer 3D printer.

[Originally published on Forbes.com]

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History of Data Science (Infographic)

DataScience_History

 

Source: Capgemini

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4 billion people buying phones every 2 years instead of 1.6 billion buying PCs every 5 years

MobilePCs

Source: Benedict Evans

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