China May Keep Its Best AI Models at Home and Sell Access Instead

China has proposed new export controls on 23 artificial intelligence technologies. The rules could change how DeepSeek and other Chinese AI companies sell their technology to international customers.

Under the proposed rules, foreign businesses could continue using Chinese AI models through websites, apps and cloud services. However, transferring the technology behind some advanced models overseas could face new restrictions.

On October 16, 2026, China’s Ministry of Commerce proposed adding 23 AI-related technologies to its export-control catalogue. These include advanced AI models, autonomous agents and computing clusters. Public consultation will remain open until November 15, 2026. Some registration requirements for overseas technology transfers have already taken effect.

A Reuters investigation published on October 28 reported on China’s emerging approach to controlling AI technology exports. The policy could help Beijing protect valuable technology while allowing Chinese companies to earn money from global customers.

The changes could affect companies such as DeepSeek, Moonshot AI and Z.AI, which have expanded their reach through downloadable models and online AI services.

China is not placing a complete ban on AI exports. Instead, the rules could separate access to Chinese AI services from the transfer of technology. Which allows foreign companies to run and control the models themselves.

China Wants to Control How Advanced AI Technology Leaves the Country

China is considering new restrictions on the export of advanced artificial intelligence technologies as part of a broader review of its export control rules. The proposed changes cover 40 technologies across artificial intelligence, biotechnology and solar energy. Of these, 23 are related to AI.

The list includes advanced language models, AI agents that can perform tasks with limited human supervision, chip design tools and technologies used to manage large computing clusters. China’s Ministry of Commerce says the proposed restrictions aim to protect national security and prevent sensitive technologies from being misused.

The ministry has also raised concerns about AI systems that can create or modify malicious software. Such tools could pose risks to critical infrastructure if used for cyberattacks. However, China does not intend to block all AI technology exports. Most AI technologies would remain eligible for export under the proposed rules.

This approach would allow Chinese AI companies to continue serving international customers while keeping tighter control over technologies that Beijing considers strategically important. The proposed restrictions could also help China protect valuable AI research and models while allowing domestic companies to generate revenue from overseas markets.

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Foreign Customers Could Use Chinese AI Without Owning the Models

China’s proposed AI export rules could distinguish between using an AI model and owning the technology behind it. Foreign customers may be able to access Chinese AI models through APIs, websites and cloud services. 

This would let businesses use AI tools without owning or running the underlying models themselves. Transferring the technology is different. It could allow a foreign company to run, modify or reproduce an AI model independently.

Under the proposed rules, China would treat these two types of AI distribution differently. This could allow Chinese AI companies to serve international customers while maintaining greater control over their models and underlying technology.

AI Distribution MethodTreatment Under China’s Proposal
Access through an APIGenerally outside the model-technology export controls
Access through a website or applicationGenerally outside the controls
Access through a software-as-a-service platformGenerally outside the controls
Overseas deployment involving restricted technologySubject to export-control requirements
Chinese-owned overseas computing centerEligible for simplified licensing in qualifying cases
Publicly available research and existing open-source technologyGenerally exempt from the proposed controls
Transfer of restricted AI technology to foreign ownershipMay require registration or approval

For example, a developer outside China could continue using a Chinese AI language model through an API. The developer would send requests to the provider’s servers and receive responses without downloading the entire model.

However, running the same model independently could require access to its underlying technology. This type of transfer may face additional regulatory requirements under China’s proposed AI export rules.

This approach is similar to the business models used by major AI companies. They charge customers for access to their models while keeping control of the technology and computing systems behind them. China’s proposed rules would add another layer of control by allowing the government to regulate certain technology transfers.

For international developers, this could mean greater reliance on Chinese AI providers. It could also limit their ability to run some advanced models on their own servers. The actual impact will depend on which AI models are covered by the final rules and how Chinese regulators enforce the restrictions.

China’s AI Export Rules Could Affect DeepSeek, Moonshot AI and Z.AI

China’s AI Export Rules Could Affect DeepSeek, Moonshot AI and Z.AI

China’s proposed AI export restrictions could affect how companies such as DeepSeek, Moonshot AI and Z.AI distribute their models internationally. These companies offer downloadable AI models, APIs and hosted services. The new rules could change how they share future models with overseas customers.

According to Reuters, researchers at major Chinese AI labs are seeking clarity on whether advanced models can be trained or run on servers outside China. This matters because some Chinese AI companies rely on overseas computing facilities to access advanced chips restricted by U.S. export controls.

If moving certain models abroad requires government approval, companies may need to change how they train and deploy their AI systems. One possible outcome is that companies develop separate versions for Chinese and international markets. 

However, no such requirement has been confirmed for DeepSeek, Moonshot AI or Z.AI. The impact will depend on the final rules and each company’s business model.

China Proposes Three Tests for Restricting Advanced AI Models

China’s proposed AI export rules include three criteria to identify advanced models that could face restrictions. These tests focus on training computing power, model size and performance.

Proposed CriterionThreshold
Training ComputationAt least 10²? computational operations
Model SizeAt least 2 trillion parameters
Model PerformanceRanking among the world’s top 10 in specified assessments

However, applying these thresholds may not be easy. Some AI models contain trillions of parameters but use only a portion of them for each task. Other models achieve strong results with fewer parameters.

Chinese law firm Han Kun has raised questions about how regulators would measure model size for systems that use this approach. The performance test also remains unclear. The draft does not specify which rankings or assessments would determine whether a model qualifies for restrictions.

This could make it difficult for AI companies to know whether their models fall under the proposed rules. Even a smaller model could qualify based on its performance in a specific assessment.

Liu Jing, a senior partner at Beijing Dacheng Law Offices who took part in policy consultations, told Reuters that companies want clearer guidance on these tests. The final regulations and implementation guidelines will determine which AI models are subject to export restrictions.

China’s AI Export Rules Show Growing Competition With the US

China’s proposed AI export restrictions come amid growing technology competition with the United States. 

Washington has restricted China’s access to certain advanced AI chips and semiconductor manufacturing equipment. These measures aim to limit China’s access to computing technology that could support military applications and advanced AI development. 

China’s proposed rules focus on a different area. Instead of limiting the technology Chinese companies can acquire. Beijing wants greater control over which advanced Chinese technologies can be transferred to foreign organizations.

Yang Jingru, a partner at Chinese law firm Jincheng Tongda & Neal, described the approach as a counterpart to US restrictions on computing hardware, investment and other technologies.

The two countries are focusing on different parts of the AI industry. The US has targeted China’s access to advanced chips. Meanwhile, China is considering tighter controls on the overseas transfer of AI models and technical knowledge.

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Beijing says the proposed rules would allow legitimate technology exchanges to continue. They would also prevent sensitive technologies from being transferred without proper oversight. The measures show that advanced AI models are becoming strategic assets. They are also playing a growing role in the technology competition between China and the United States.

China’s Open-Source AI Strategy Could Face New Restrictions

Chinese AI companies have gained global attention by releasing models that developers can download and run on their own systems. These models allow researchers and businesses to modify the technology and build applications without relying entirely on the original provider. 

This has helped Chinese AI models compete with proprietary systems that customers access through paid APIs. However, China’s proposed AI export rules could make it harder to distribute some advanced models internationally. 

If transferring certain technologies requires government approval, companies may prefer to offer access through APIs and cloud services instead of allowing customers to download the models. This could push some AI companies toward subscription services and API-based revenue.

However, China’s Ministry of Commerce says technology already available through public research or open-source releases would generally remain outside the proposed restrictions. The draft also includes simplified procedures for eligible open-source technology exports.

This shows that China doesn’t plan to stop open-source AI development entirely. Instead, the government wants greater control over the export of certain sensitive technologies.

Some Chinese AI models could remain freely downloadable, while others may become available mainly through hosted services. The final rules will determine how these changes affect AI developers and international users.

ALSO READ: Open Source AI Statistics

MiniMax Completes AI Technology Export Registration in China

MiniMax Completes AI Technology Export Registration in China

Chinese AI company MiniMax has taken an early step to meet China’s technology export requirements. On October 23, MiniMax announced that it had completed a technology export registration with China’s Ministry of Commerce.

According to Reuters, the registration covered the open-source release and overseas licensing of certain recently released and upcoming AI models. The move shows that Chinese AI companies can continue to distribute models internationally while following export requirements.

However, MiniMax has not disclosed full details about the models covered by the registration or the conditions governing their use abroad. This also shows why AI companies may need to consider export rules when planning new model releases and licensing agreements.

How China’s AI Export Rules Could Affect Global Data Centers

China’s proposed AI export rules could change where Chinese AI companies train and run their models. Some developers use overseas data centers to access advanced processors and support international operations. 

The new rules could affect how they transfer AI models between facilities in China and other countries. For example, moving a restricted model to a foreign-owned data center could face different requirements from running it at a facility operated by the Chinese company itself.

China’s proposal offers simplified licensing for certain overseas computing centers run by Chinese companies. However, it does not provide the same clear treatment for transfers that allow foreign customers to build and operate similar systems independently.

This could encourage Chinese AI companies to maintain greater control over their overseas infrastructure. It could also affect partnerships involving AI model hosting, technology licensing and joint development. The final rules will determine how these requirements affect international operations and compliance costs.

Foreign Investment in Chinese AI Could Become More Complicated

The proposed rules could also affect foreign investments and acquisitions involving Chinese AI companies. Reuters reported that China introduced registration requirements on October 16 for certain transfers that put Chinese technology under foreign ownership or control.

This means the rules may cover more than AI models and cloud services. They could also apply to deals involving valuable AI technology and intellectual property. Foreign companies planning to buy a Chinese AI business may need to check whether the deal involves technology covered by the restrictions.

International partnerships could also face additional checks if they involve the transfer of sensitive technology or control over key assets. Governments are paying closer attention to AI investments because of their potential national security risks. This could make it harder for foreign investors to determine which deals need regulatory approval.

However, the proposed rules do not ban all foreign investments in Chinese AI companies. The requirements would depend on the technology involved and the details of each transaction.

How China’s AI Export Rules Could Affect Global Developers

Developers outside China may see little immediate change under the proposed rules. The proposal generally excludes access through APIs, websites and software-as-a-service (SaaS) platforms from the specific controls on AI model technology exports.

This means developers could still use hosted Chinese AI services to build their applications. However, downloading and running AI models independently could become more difficult. Some businesses prefer to run models on their own systems. This gives them more control over costs, data security, customization and access.

These benefits are important for companies that must follow strict privacy rules or industry regulations. If advanced Chinese AI models become available mainly through hosted services, developers may have to rely more on the companies that provide them. They could face changes in pricing, service availability or access policies.

They may also have fewer options to modify models or study how they work. Hosted AI services have their own advantages. They allow businesses to use powerful models without buying expensive computing equipment or managing the infrastructure themselves.

The impact will depend on each company’s needs. Some businesses may see little difference, while those that rely on downloadable AI models may need to reconsider which systems they use once China finalizes the export rules.

Could China Earn More From Hosted AI Services?

Could China Earn More From Hosted AI Services?

China’s proposed rules could encourage AI companies to earn more from hosted services instead of downloadable models.

When companies release model weights, developers can run the models on their own systems without paying for every request. Providers may still earn money through licences and support, but they have less control over usage.

Hosted services work differently. Customers pay to access models, allowing providers to earn recurring revenue while keeping their technology private. This approach could help Chinese AI companies reach global customers while protecting valuable technology.

However, downloadable models have helped Chinese developers attract users worldwide. Strict limits on their distribution could slow adoption.

Companies may choose a middle ground by releasing some models publicly while offering their most advanced systems through paid services. However, this remains a possible business strategy, not a confirmed requirement under the proposed rules.

China Is Changing the Rules of the Global AI Race

China’s proposed export rules could change how its AI companies compete with US developers. Until now, much of the debate has focused on whether Chinese companies can access enough advanced chips to build powerful AI systems. 

Beijing is now looking at another issue: how much of its AI technology foreign companies should be allowed to control. The proposed rules suggest that China wants its AI companies to reach global customers while keeping sensitive technology under tighter control.

This could affect downloadable models, overseas data centers, international partnerships and foreign acquisitions. It could also push more businesses towards hosted AI services instead of running models on their own systems.

However, the rules are not final. Public consultation runs until November 15, and companies will need further guidance to understand how the restrictions will apply. China is not proposing to stop foreign users from accessing its AI services. 

Instead, the focus is on controlling the transfer of technology behind certain advanced AI systems. This approach could influence how Chinese and American AI companies compete in global markets.

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AI Models Could Cut Fashion Shoot Costs by 90% – Human Models Are Worried

Fashion brands are using AI models to create product images and advertising campaigns at lower costs. This helps retailers save time and money. However, it also raises concerns about job losses among human models, photographers and other creative workers.

Retailers can now create images of virtual models wearing different outfits without arranging traditional photoshoots. Some companies report production cost savings of more than 90%.

An October 27 Reuters investigation found that major fashion and beauty brands had sought permission to alter models’ appearances. The proposed terms also included swapping faces and creating digital replicas. 

Reuters interviewed 15 modeling agency directors as part of its investigation. It also reviewed more than a dozen confidential contracts. It involved various brands such as Diesel, Calvin Klein and L’Oréal. Zalando has expanded its use of AI-generated images, while its associated business, Scayle Studios, says the technology can cut production costs by more than 90%. 

The shift raises concerns about models’ jobs, consent and payment. Should models receive additional compensation when brands reuse their digital likenesses, or can a single contract give companies lasting rights to their images?

Fashion Brands Can Now Create AI Models Without Traditional Photoshoots

Traditional fashion photoshoots require several steps, from hiring models and photographers to arranging studios, styling outfits and editing images. For retailers launching hundreds or thousands of products, these tasks can increase production costs and delay marketing campaigns.

Generative AI is giving fashion brands another way to create product and advertising images. Retailers can use AI to generate realistic models in different outfits, change image backgrounds, and produce multiple campaign versions. 

Some brands also use digital versions of existing models to showcase new clothing without arranging a separate photoshoot for every look. This helps companies produce more marketing images in less time and potentially lower their production costs.

In May 2025, Reuters reported that Zalando was cutting marketing production costs by 90% using generative AI. The European fashion retailer said the technology had reduced the time needed to produce marketing images from six to eight weeks to around three or four days.

Zalando also reported that AI-generated images accounted for approximately 70% of its editorial campaign images in the fourth quarter of 2024. This is why fashion retailers are adopting AI image generation. 

Instead of organizing a new photoshoot for every campaign, brands can create different image variations. This allows them to launch marketing materials more quickly as trends change. However, these savings may vary across companies. 

Zalando’s reported 90% reduction does not mean every fashion brand can achieve the same results or cut its overall photography budget by that amount. Actual costs depend on campaign requirements, image quality, model licensing and the level of human editing and review involved.

Zalando’s AI Fashion Business Has Generated 190,000 Outfits in One Month

Zalando's AI Fashion Business Has Generated 190,000 Outfits in One Month

Zalando and About You are expanding their use of AI-generated fashion images to reduce production time and costs. Zalando, one of Europe’s largest online fashion retailers, has closed its two photography studios in Berlin as it shifts more work to AI-generated content. About You, acquired by Zalando in 2025, has also shut its studio.

Reuters reported the changes were accompanied by more than 340 job cuts at Zalando, although some affected employees moved to other roles. About You is now expanding its AI content services through Scayle Studios, which produces digital fashion images for other retailers. 

The business says its technology can reduce production costs by more than 90%. Its reported output shows how quickly AI fashion imagery is scaling, with 190,000 outfits generated in a single month.

Metric Reported Data
Potential production cost reductionOver 90%
Scayle Studios brand clients130
Outfits generated in one month190,000
Job cuts at ZalandoOver 340
Traditional campaign production time6 to 8 weeks
AI-assisted production time3 to 4 days

Source: Reuters

Julian Jansen, About You’s vice president of marketing, told Reuters that using AI was helping the company save significant amounts of money.

He said traditional photoshoots often struggle to keep up with online fashion retailers, which regularly launch new products. AI allows brands to produce large numbers of fashion images faster than conventional photography.

This can reduce the need for large production teams and help retailers create marketing content with fewer resources. However, the shift also raises concerns about the future of jobs in fashion photography and related creative roles.

Human Models Face Job Losses as Fashion Brands Adopt AI

AI-generated fashion images could threaten one of the main sources of income for working models. Online retailers regularly hire models to showcase new clothing collections, providing steady work beyond high-profile advertising campaigns and magazine shoots.

Adot Gak, a London-based model who has appeared in Harper’s Bazaar and worked with brands such as Balmain and H&M, told Reuters that AI could reduce job opportunities for models. She highlighted ecommerce photography as one of the areas most at risk.

Retailers can now use virtual models to display clothing across product pages and marketing campaigns. This could reduce demand for traditional photoshoots and affect other workers, including photographers, makeup artists, hairstylists, stylists and studio staff.

However, the impact may vary across the fashion industry. Luxury brands may continue hiring human models and photographers for high-profile campaigns, while mass-market retailers may use AI for routine product images.

As more fashion brands adopt AI, routine modelling jobs could face greater pressure than high-profile fashion assignments.

ALSO READ: AI Job Automation Statistics

Fashion Contracts Could Allow Brands to Reuse Models’ Faces Without Extra Payment

AI is raising concerns beyond job losses in the fashion industry. Some brands are seeking contract terms that give them greater control over models’ digital images and allow them to reuse those images in future campaigns.

A Reuters investigation found proposed contracts that included permission to change facial features, body shapes and expressions, swap faces between models and create digital replicas. Some agreements also sought permission to use model images to train AI systems.

These terms could allow brands to create new advertising images from an existing photoshoot without hiring the model again. Depending on the contract, the model might not receive additional payment for the new images.

Patrick Staal, head of Barcelona-based Uniko Models, told Reuters that brands were increasingly requesting rights to alter models’ faces, bodies, skin, ages and expressions.

Reuters also examined proposed contract terms involving Diesel, Calvin Klein and L’Oréal. Diesel’s casting document included permission for extensive digital changes, while Calvin Klein said it was testing AI technology while respecting models’ rights. L’Oréal said its standard AI editing tools did not affect models’ images but did not directly address the specific contract language.

However, proposed contract terms do not prove that brands have used all the rights described. Some agreements reviewed by Reuters were unsigned. Still, the documents highlight growing concerns about how fashion brands could use models’ digital identities and whether they would receive additional payment.

Digital Clones Could Create a New Problem for Models’ Rights

Digital twins are computer-generated versions of real people that can reproduce their appearance in different settings. In fashion, brands can use this technology to show the same model wearing hundreds of outfits without arranging separate photoshoots.

However, digital replicas raise concerns about consent, ownership and payment. Models may have questions about who controls their digital likeness, whether brands can change their appearance without permission and whether they should receive extra payment when their digital image appears in new campaigns.

Melanie Howard, a partner at law firm Loeb & Loeb who works with brands and talent, warned Reuters that broad contract terms can make it difficult for models to challenge unauthorised uses of their images.

The issue could be particularly serious for new models who may feel pressured to accept wide-ranging licensing terms to secure work. Agreements signed early in their careers could affect how brands use their digital likeness in the future.

As AI-generated models become more realistic, clear contracts, consent and fair payment will become increasingly important to protect models’ rights and future earning opportunities.

ALSO READ: Your Face and Voice May Become the Next Form of Digital Property

New York Has Introduced Protections for AI Fashion Models

Governments and industry groups are taking steps to address concerns about AI-generated models, but legal protections still vary by location.

New York’s Fashion Workers Act, which took effect in June 2025, requires consent for the creation or modification of digital replicas of models. The law is significant because New York is a major center for fashion brands, modeling agencies and advertising.

However, it does not provide a global standard for AI fashion models. Brands and models often work across different countries, where legal protections can vary.

In Britain, the British Fashion Model Agents Association has introduced a voluntary AI code of practice. Its recommendations include obtaining models’ consent before using AI and ensuring they retain ownership of their digital twins. Association head John Horner told Reuters that models remain at risk without legally binding protections in Britain and Europe.

Sara Ziff, founder and executive director of the Model Alliance, has also pushed for stronger legal safeguards and supported New York’s legislation.

The debate is less about banning AI from fashion and more about setting clear rules for consent, fair payment and control over digital likenesses. These protections could help fashion brands adopt AI while respecting models’ rights.

Luxury Fashion Brands Are Taking a More Cautious Approach

Fashion brands are adopting AI at different rates. Fast-fashion retailers have strong reasons to use AI-generated models because they need large numbers of product images and frequently launch new collections.

Luxury brands face different challenges. Their campaigns often rely on well-known models, creative photography and the reputation of the people featured in their advertisements. Replacing human models with digital characters could lower costs but may also affect how customers view a brand.

Some luxury brands have already tested AI imagery. Moncler used AI-generated visuals in a 2023 campaign, while Gucci faced criticism after sharing AI-generated images on Instagram in 2026.

Moncler told Reuters that it does not currently use AI-generated models on its website or in advertising campaigns. Gucci did not respond to Reuters’ request for comment. Meanwhile, fashion retailer Mango has introduced AI-generated models in its marketing.

These examples show that AI adoption varies across the fashion industry. The technology may become more common in routine ecommerce photography before seeing wider use in major luxury advertising campaigns.

Could AI Models Eventually Replace Human Fashion Models?

Could AI Models Eventually Replace Human Fashion Models?

AI technology can now create realistic fashion images, show clothing on virtual models and produce multiple image variations without arranging new photoshoots. These features help retailers reduce production time and costs.

However, replacing some modelling tasks does not mean AI can replace the entire profession. Human models take part in runway shows, work with creative teams, represent brands and connect with audiences in ways that virtual models may not fully match.

Customer trust is another concern. Some shoppers may prefer images featuring real people. AI-generated pictures can also misrepresent a garment’s fit, texture or proportions, making it harder for customers to judge products accurately.

For now, routine ecommerce photography faces a greater risk of automation than the entire fashion modelling industry. The long-term impact on runway shows, luxury campaigns and celebrity advertising remains uncertain as brands continue testing AI technology.

The Fashion Industry Faces a Choice Over Who Benefits From AI

AI fashion models can help retailers cut image production costs by more than 90% in some cases. For brands that produce thousands of product images each month, the savings can be significant.

However, the growing use of AI raises questions about how these benefits should be shared. Should models receive ongoing payments when brands reuse their digital likenesses? Can new creative jobs make up for the work lost by photographers and studio staff? Should retailers tell customers when they use AI-generated fashion images?

These issues will shape the future of AI in fashion. Brands are already testing digital replicas, closing photography studios and changing how they produce marketing content.

AI is likely to remain part of fashion production, but workers’ rights and fair payment need greater attention. The key challenge is ensuring that fashion brands can benefit from lower costs without leaving models and other creative workers to bear the cost of these changes.

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Companies Are Building AI Clones of Consumers to Predict What You’ll Buy

An AI startup has raised $300 million to develop technology that simulates how people shop and make buying decisions. These tools are known as synthetic consumers or AI digital twins. They help businesses test products, advertisements and pricing strategies using virtual customers.

Simile, an AI startup valued at a reported $2 billion, is developing systems that predict consumer behavior. According to an October 27 Business Insider report, the company works with businesses in retail, finance and entertainment. 

Pharmacy chain CVS has used its technology to study customer responses to store layouts and marketing messages. However, questions remain about the accuracy of AI-generated consumers. 

A September study by the Pew Research Center examined nearly 300 questions. It found that AI-generated survey responses differed from real human responses by an average of 12 percentage points. The study raise concerns about whether businesses can rely on AI simulations to predict real consumer behavior.

A $300 Million Startup Wants to Build Digital Versions of Consumers

Simile is building an AI model that aims to predict human behavior. The company wants businesses to use virtual consumers to understand how people might react to different products and prices. They can also use these virtual consumers to test marketing campaigns.

Simile co-founder and CEO Joon Sung Park explained the idea during an appearance on the Sourcery podcast. The system uses information about an individual or group to predict how they might behave in different situations. 

Businesses can then interact with these virtual consumers through a web interface and ask questions about their preferences. For example, a retailer could create a virtual group of fitness enthusiasts to find out whether they would buy a new smartwatch priced at $199 or $249.

A supermarket could test whether moving products to another aisle might increase sales. Similarly, a film studio could use the simulations to understand how different audiences might respond to a new movie or advertising campaign.

Park said businesses can choose the type of people they want to study and ask the simulated group as many questions as they need. The goal is to make market research faster and easier. Traditional research often requires companies to recruit participants, conduct interviews, run surveys and analyze the results. These steps can take time and money.

Simile wants businesses to use AI simulations to explore ideas before deciding whether they need to conduct further research with real consumers. According to Park, Simile has raised $300 million and reached a valuation of around $2 billion. However, this funding does not prove that its AI simulations can accurately predict real consumer behavior.

CVS Is Using AI Consumers to Test Shopping Experiences

CVS Health is among the companies reported to be working with Simile. The pharmacy and healthcare company is using AI simulations to study how customers might respond to changes in store layouts, messages and shopping experiences.

Retailers regularly make decisions about product placement, promotions and store design. Traditionally, they rely on surveys, interviews and customer tests to understand what shoppers prefer.

AI simulations offer another way to test these ideas. Retailers can compare different store layouts and see how virtual shoppers might respond before making changes. Simile also works with financial institutions and entertainment companies, according to CEO Joon Sung Park.

Banks could test customer reactions to financial products, while entertainment companies could study audience preferences before launching campaigns. However, virtual shoppers cannot guarantee real sales. 

Actual buying decisions depend on factors such as personal budgets, changing preferences and in-store experiences. For now, AI consumer simulations can help businesses test ideas, but they cannot replace real customer feedback or reliably predict every purchase.

How Do Companies Create AI Clones of Real Consumers?

How Do Companies Create AI Clones of Real Consumers?

AI consumer models use data about people to create virtual profiles that can answer questions and simulate shopping decisions. The data may include survey answers, age groups, buying habits and other information about consumer behavior.

Simile says it works with organizations such as Gallup to collect data from people who have agreed to take part in research. CEO Joon Sung Park said these partnerships give the company access to information linked to more than 40 million people worldwide.

The company also uses transaction and mobility data to improve its predictions. For example, a grocery retailer could use these models to study how people in a particular age group might respond to a new product. The virtual consumers could then provide simulated responses about pricing, product preferences and advertising.

However, AI consumer models do not always create exact digital copies of real people. Some simulate the behavior of broad groups, while others use data linked to specific individuals.

The accuracy of these predictions depends on the quality of the data, how the models are built and whether their results match real consumer behavior. A simulated response does not guarantee that an actual customer will make the same choice.

Companies Are Turning AI Consumer Clones Into a Marketing Business

Simile is not the only company developing AI tools to study consumer behavior. On October 20, Resonate announced Resonate Digital Twins, a product that uses data linked to real people to simulate consumer responses.

The company says its system covers more than 250 million American adults matched to individual records. Its data resources include over 100 million consumer research responses, more than 30 billion observed behaviors daily and over 15,000 attributes.

Resonate says marketers can ask questions about consumer preferences and turn the results into advertising audiences within five days. The company aims to connect AI-based research directly to advertising. 

Businesses could use the system to identify people who may be interested in a product and target those groups with ads. This approach could help companies move from testing marketing ideas to launching campaigns more quickly.

However, the size of Resonate’s database does not mean that every person has agreed to have an AI clone created. Its claims about the accuracy and performance of the system also need independent testing.

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Companies Developing Synthetic Consumer Technology

Several companies are developing synthetic consumer technology for product research, audience analysis and marketing. The table below highlights key companies working on AI-based consumer simulations and their main uses.

CompanyTechnologyUsage
SimileAI simulations of human behaviorProduct research, store layouts and marketing
ResonateConsumer digital twinsAudience research and advertising targeting
OutsetAI-assisted customer researchCustomer interviews and digital consumer representations
ArimaSynthetic populationsMedia planning and campaign testing
Vurvey LabsSynthetic consumer personasProduct development and marketing research

Advertising agencies and consumer brands are also exploring AI-generated consumers. According to Digiday’s October 12 report, Goodway Group is working with Arima to use synthetic population data for media planning. 

The agency wants to test different advertising budgets and strategies before spending money on actual campaigns. Brands such as Magnum, Vans and Kenvue have also tested synthetic personas for product development and market research.

AI Consumer Predictions Can Be Wrong, Pew Research Finds

Independent research has raised concerns about how accurately AI can predict human responses. On September 30, Pew Research Center published a study testing whether AI-generated respondents could give answers similar to those of real people.

Researchers used AI models to simulate participants from Pew’s American Trends Panel. They gave the models information about real participants and asked them to answer questions from surveys that people had already completed. This showed clear differences between AI-generated and human responses.

Across nearly 300 survey questions, AI answers differed from real survey results by an average of about 12 percentage points. The gaps were larger for some demographic and political groups.

PopulationAverage absolute error
All U.S. adults12.4 percentage points
Republican and Republican-leaning adults16.1 percentage points
Democratic and Democratic-leaning adults13.6 percentage points
Black adults15.1 percentage points
Hispanic adults13.9 percenatge points
White adults12.5 percentage points

Source: Pew Research Center

Pew found that nearly half of the survey questions had at least one answer option that no AI respondent selected. This suggests that AI models may fail to capture the range of opinions held by real people.

Researchers concluded that the tested methods could not replace traditional public opinion polls. The study did not test Simile or Resonate, so its findings do not prove that all AI consumer models are inaccurate. However, businesses should verify AI predictions with real customer feedback to avoid poor product decisions and ineffective advertising campaigns.

Some Studies Report Better Results From Synthetic Consumers

Despite Pew Research’s study, other research suggests that AI consumer models can perform well on specific tasks. In a May 2026 analysis, Boston Consulting Group (BCG) explored how businesses could use AI-generated consumer groups to test products and pricing. 

One experiment predicted actual consumer choices with 92% accuracy after the model was refined. BCG said synthetic research could help companies test more product ideas and speed up development. However, it also found that these models were less effective at predicting reactions to completely new products.

AI models learn from existing data, so they may predict preferences for familiar products more accurately than reactions to something unfamiliar. For example, a model might compare preferences for two popular beverage flavors but struggle to predict demand for a new type of drink. 

BCG also warned that synthetic consumer panels should not fully replace traditional market research. Pew and BCG studied different tasks, which helps explain their different findings. Pew tested AI responses to public opinion surveys, while BCG examined specific consumer choices.

Could Companies Predict Your Purchases Before You Make Them?

Synthetic consumer technology aims to help businesses predict what people might buy in the future. Retailers already use shopping history, browsing activity and customer preferences to recommend products. AI simulations take this a step further by testing how consumers might respond to new situations.

For example, a clothing brand could compare prices for a new collection. A supermarket could test a new store layout, while an advertising agency could compare campaign ideas before launching ads.

This approach could help businesses test thousands of ideas without conducting a separate survey for each one. However, predicting a group’s preferences is different from knowing what an individual will buy. Personal budgets, changing needs and social influences can all affect purchasing decisions.

Even models trained on large amounts of data cannot account for every factor. There is no established evidence that these systems can consistently predict an individual’s future purchases with certainty.

AI Consumer Clones Raise New Privacy Questions

AI consumer models raise concerns about how companies collect and use personal data. These systems may use shopping habits, location patterns, age groups and personal preferences. Some rely on research from people who agree to participate, while others combine surveys with commercial data and observed behavior. 

The risks depend on how the information is collected, stored and used. Simulating a broad group is different from building a detailed profile linked to a specific person. Resonate says its system connects predictions to audience records that marketers can target with ads. 

This raises questions about whether consumers know how their data is used to make AI-based predictions. Companies could also use this information to estimate personal details that people have never shared directly. 

Even if these estimates are wrong, they could affect the ads, offers and recommendations people receive. Privacy concerns are also growing around AI shopping assistants. 

In September, Reuters reported that major banks had warned about fraud, scams and data privacy risks linked to AI agents that shop for customers. Although the technologies work differently, both could change how AI influences buying decisions and the relationship between businesses and consumers.

ALSO READ: 23+ Alarming Data Privacy Statistics For 2026

Will AI Replace Traditional Market Research?

Will AI Replace Traditional Market Research?

AI consumer models can help businesses test ideas faster and at a lower cost. Companies can ask virtual customers questions and compare different products, prices and marketing strategies without running a new survey each time.

However, relying entirely on AI comes with risks. Real consumers can change their minds, express unexpected opinions and respond to new trends that AI models may miss. These systems can also reflect biases in their training data.

Pew Research found that AI-generated responses did not always match real public opinion. BCG’s research, meanwhile, suggests that synthetic panels can help with certain consumer decisions when their results are tested.

A better approach may be to combine AI simulations with traditional market research. Businesses can use virtual consumers to test initial ideas and then ask real customers for feedback before making major decisions.

This shift could also change the role of market researchers. They may spend more time checking AI predictions, finding errors and comparing results with real consumer behavior. Whether this technology will create new jobs or reduce demand for some research roles remains unclear.

The Future of Shopping May Begin With Your Digital Twin

Synthetic consumers are changing how businesses use AI. Instead of using it only to create ads, answer questions or recommend products, companies are now using AI to predict how people might respond to different products and offers.

Simile’s $300 million funding and reported $2 billion valuation show investor interest in this technology. Resonate’s digital twins also show how AI-generated consumer profiles could help companies plan advertising campaigns.

Retailers, healthcare companies and marketing agencies are already exploring these tools. However, their long-term success will depend on how accurately they predict real consumer behavior.

Companies must also address concerns about consent, privacy and the use of personal data. These issues become more important when AI predictions influence major business decisions. For consumers, the change may happen without them noticing. 

An advertisement, product recommendation or store layout could be tested on an AI model representing people with similar interests and habits. AI may help businesses predict what customers are likely to buy. But understanding why people make those choices remains a bigger challenge.

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Researchers Question Why OpenAI Is Keeping Its Biggest AI Discoveries Private

OpenAI has limited access to some of its advanced AI research. This has raised questions about how much information the company should share with scientists and the public. OpenAI is a major player in artificial intelligence. However, researchers cannot independently examine every detail of its most advanced models.

When OpenAI was founded in 2015, it emphasized sharing research and developing AI for the benefit of humanity. However, as its models became more capable, the company began keeping more technical details private, including information about model design, training data and development methods.

OpenAI says safety risks and business competition influence these decisions. However, critics argue that limited access makes it harder for independent researchers to test the company’s claims.

The debate has become more important as OpenAI promotes its models for scientific research, reasoning and technological development. Without enough technical information, scientists may struggle to verify these claims or understand how the models produce their results.

The challenge is finding a balance between protecting OpenAI’s technology and managing AI safety risks. The company also needs to give independent scientists enough information to verify its research claims.

OpenAI Was Founded on a Commitment to Share AI Research

OpenAI was founded with a strong focus on sharing AI research and making its findings available to others. When the organization launched in December 2015, its founders said they wanted to develop artificial intelligence that would benefit all of humanity. 

They also encouraged researchers to publish their work and share important discoveries. The idea was simple. When researchers share their findings, others can study them, test the results and use them to develop new ideas.

In its early years, OpenAI published research papers, technical documents and AI models for public use. Its work covered areas such as reinforcement learning, language models and machine learning.

However, the company’s approach began to change as its AI systems became more advanced. Concerns about safety, misuse and commercial competition influenced decisions about what information to release.

In 2019, OpenAI initially withheld the full version of GPT-2 because of concerns that the model could be misused. The company later made the complete model available to the public. This was an early sign that OpenAI was becoming more selective about sharing its technology.

The shift became more apparent in 2023, when OpenAI released GPT-4 without disclosing several technical details, including its architecture, training data and computing requirements. In its GPT-4 technical report, the company cited safety risks and competitive pressures as reasons for keeping this information private.

The decision highlighted a growing gap between OpenAI’s original commitment to sharing research and its later approach to developing and releasing advanced AI models.

Scientists Cannot Independently Verify Every OpenAI Claim

Scientists Cannot Independently Verify Every OpenAI Claim

Independent verification is a key part of scientific research. When scientists publish new findings, other researchers need enough information to review their methods, repeat experiments and check whether the results are accurate.

However, verifying claims about advanced AI models can be difficult. Training large AI models requires powerful computers, specialized infrastructure and vast amounts of data. Many universities and independent research teams do not have access to these resources.

The problem becomes more challenging when AI companies keep important technical details private. Researchers can test models through public tools or APIs to see how they perform. But these tests do not always reveal how a model was trained, whether its training data was reliable or why it produces certain results.

This issue is important because AI companies increasingly promote their models as tools for scientific research. These systems can help with coding, reviewing research papers, solving mathematical problems and developing new hypotheses.

However, strong performance on AI benchmarks does not automatically prove that a model can produce reliable scientific discoveries. Independent researchers need access to more information to evaluate these claims and identify problems that internal company tests might miss. 

Limited access does not mean that a company’s claims are false. It simply makes some claims more difficult for outside researchers to verify. This challenge extends beyond OpenAI. Other leading AI companies also restrict access to the technical details of their most advanced models.

ALSO READ: OpenAI Reveals 6 Alarming AI Model Behaviors in New Safety Reports

Why OpenAI Keeps Some AI Research Private

OpenAI has several reasons for limiting access to some of its AI research. Safety, business competition and national security all play a role in these decisions. AI safety is one of the main concerns.

Advanced AI models could be misused for cyberattacks, fraud, spreading misinformation and other harmful activities. AI developers argue that sharing certain technical details could make it easier for people to copy or misuse these capabilities.

OpenAI has previously considered the risk of misuse when deciding whether to release research findings, model weights and other technical resources. Its official Charter also shows the importance of AI safety and cooperation with other research institutions. Business competition is another factor.

Building advanced AI models requires significant spending on computing infrastructure, research teams and training. Companies may consider their model designs, training methods and optimization techniques valuable business assets.

Sharing these details could allow competitors to reproduce similar results without making the same level of investment. Keeping some research private can therefore help companies protect their technology and maintain a competitive advantage.

National security also influences AI research decisions. Governments increasingly view advanced AI as an important technology for economic growth and national security. Research that helps develop more capable AI systems may raise concerns about how the technology could be used by governments, businesses or malicious actors.

These competing priorities make decisions about AI research difficult. Sharing more information allows independent scientists to test findings, check results and build on existing work. However, releasing every technical detail could also make potentially harmful capabilities easier to reproduce.

The main challenge for OpenAI and other AI developers is deciding which research findings can be shared openly and which details may need to remain private because of safety, security or commercial concerns.

OpenAI Has Faced Criticism Over AI Research Transparency

Concerns about OpenAI’s research transparency have been growing for several years. One major example came in March 2023, when the company released GPT-4 with a technical report that described the model’s performance but left out several important details.

OpenAI said it would not share further information about GPT-4’s architecture, hardware, training computing requirements, dataset construction or training methods. The company pointed to competition and safety concerns as reasons for keeping these details private.

The decision raised questions about how independent researchers could examine GPT-4. Technical reports usually help scientists understand how a model was developed and how its results were achieved. Without enough information, researchers may struggle to reproduce the training process or understand why a model performs well on certain tasks.

In 2024, Stanford University’s Center for Research on Foundation Models published its Foundation Model Transparency Index. The study assessed how much information major AI companies shared about their models.

The findings highlighted differences in transparency across the industry. They also identified gaps in disclosures about training data, model development and the wider effects of AI systems.

The research showed that AI transparency does not have to mean releasing every technical detail. Companies can share information about testing methods, training data sources and safety measures without making all their proprietary technology public.

For OpenAI, the key question remains whether the information it releases allows independent researchers to properly evaluate its models and verify its claims.

The Debate Is Becoming More Important as AI Enters Scientific Research

AI is becoming an important tool in scientific research. Scientists use AI models to analyze data, identify patterns and develop new ideas in fields such as biology, chemistry, medicine and mathematics.

As AI companies claim their models can make scientific discoveries, independent verification becomes more important. Researchers need enough evidence to check whether these findings are reliable.

This does not always require access to the entire AI model. Scientists can sometimes verify results through independent experiments, mathematical proofs and testing.

However, limited access to a model’s technical details can make some claims harder to verify. Companies may need to protect their technology, but scientific progress also depends on findings that other researchers can examine and test.

Keeping AI Research Private Could Slow Scientific Progress

Sharing AI research allows scientists to check results, correct mistakes and build on existing discoveries. It can also prevent different research teams from spending time and money solving the same problems.

For example, a new AI training method could help researchers build more efficient models. Better testing methods could reveal weaknesses in existing systems, while new findings about AI safety could help developers improve their models.

When companies keep these findings private, universities and smaller research teams may miss opportunities to use them because they often lack the resources of major technology companies.

However, sharing all AI research also carries risks. Some technical details could help people develop harmful AI capabilities or bypass safety measures.

The challenge is to decide which findings can be shared safely and which should remain restricted. Clear rules and independent oversight can help ensure that companies protect public safety without using these concerns to justify unnecessary commercial secrecy.

OpenAI Is Not the Only Company Facing These Questions

OpenAI Is Not the Only Company Facing These Questions

The debate over AI research transparency extends beyond OpenAI. Companies such as Anthropic, Google DeepMind and Meta follow different approaches to releasing AI models, training data and technical research.

Some developers release model weights, allowing researchers to run models independently. Others mainly provide access through APIs and consumer products.

However, neither approach guarantees full transparency. Downloadable models may lack details about their training data, while companies with closed models can still publish research papers and performance evaluations.

The key question is whether independent researchers have enough information to verify a company’s claims.

OpenAI has also published research papers, model evaluations and selected open-weight models. The debate is mainly about how much information the company shares about its most advanced AI systems.

As AI development becomes more expensive and competition increases, finding a balance between research transparency, safety and commercial interests will remain a challenge for the industry.

ALSO READ: Open Source AI Statistics

What Happens When AI Companies Control Access to Major Discoveries?

A small number of major AI companies control much of the computing power, data and research talent needed to develop advanced AI systems. This gives them significant influence over which discoveries are made public and which remain private.

When important data are kept confidential, independent researchers may struggle to verify results or develop alternative methods. This could also make it harder for governments to assess AI safety risks, competition and the industry’s wider economic impact.

However, forcing companies to publish every technical detail could expose sensitive AI capabilities to misuse.

One possible solution is to introduce independent audits, controlled access for qualified researchers and more detailed public reports. These measures could help outside experts verify important claims without requiring companies to reveal all their technical information.

The effectiveness of this approach would depend on how independent the reviewers are and what information they can access. It would also depend on whether companies are required to act on their findings.

How Much AI Research Should Companies Share With the Public?

OpenAI’s changing approach to research transparency reflects a wider shift in the AI industry. What once focused mainly on academic research has become a competitive business, with companies investing billions of dollars in advanced AI systems.

As competition grows, companies have more reasons to keep their technology private. At the same time, independent researchers need enough information to check claims about AI performance, safety and scientific discoveries.

OpenAI has valid reasons to consider safety risks and commercial competition when deciding what to share. However, these concerns should not remove the need for independent research and verification.

The main question is whether researchers and the public can properly evaluate major AI advances when the companies developing these systems control much of the information needed to assess them.

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AI Could Finally Modernize COBOL Systems That Still Power Banks and ATMs

Banks still rely on COBOL, a programming language developed in 1959, to process financial transactions. Now, OpenAI, Anthropic, IBM and Amazon are developing AI tools to help banks modernize these aging systems without disrupting essential services.

COBOL remains a key part of banking infrastructure, supporting systems that handle ATM withdrawals, credit card payments and account balances. However, replacing this software is difficult because decades of business rules are built into millions of lines of code, much of which is poorly documented.

AI coding tools could help banks analyze legacy applications, identify connections between systems and translate old code into modern programming languages. An October 27 report from The Verge examines whether these advances could make COBOL modernization easier.

Early results are promising, but significant challenges remain. Translating code does not guarantee that a replacement banking system will work correctly. Even a small error could affect payments, account balances or transaction records.

Banks must therefore verify that AI-generated code preserves the original system’s behavior before putting it into use.

ALSO READ: AI Coding Tools Statistics, Market Size and Growth 2025-2026

Why Banks Still Depend on a Programming Language From 1959

COBOL stands for Common Business-Oriented Language. It was created in 1959 to help businesses and government agencies manage large amounts of data, such as payroll records, financial transactions and administrative information.

Banks adopted COBOL because it handles financial calculations and processes large numbers of transactions reliably. Many banks built their core systems around the language and continue to rely on them today.

More than 60 years later, COBOL remains an important part of the banking industry. According to figures attributed to IBM and cited by CIO Dive in July 2026, the language still supports a significant share of the world’s banking activity.

Banking ActivityCommonly Cited COBOL Involvement
ATM Transactions95%
In-person Credit Card Transactions80%
Online Banking SystemsOver 40%

Source: CIO Dive

These numbers show why replacing COBOL has become a major challenge for banks. Banks cannot shut down systems that handle millions of transactions and replace them with new software overnight. These systems must remain secure, accurate and available throughout the process.

Many COBOL applications have also been updated repeatedly over several decades. Banks have added new rules to meet changing regulations, introduce new products and connect older systems with newer technologies.

Some of these rules are buried deep within the existing code, making them difficult to identify and understand. Modernizing COBOL systems involves more than converting old code into a new programming language. Banks must also understand how their existing systems work and ensure that the replacement software performs the same tasks correctly.

OpenAI Says Its New AI Model Can Translate COBOL With 98% Accuracy

OpenAI Says Its New AI Model Can Translate COBOL With 98% Accuracy

Advances in AI coding tools are creating new opportunities to modernize older software. OpenAI says its GPT-6.1 Sol model achieved 98% behavioral preservation accuracy in a COBOL modernization test when using higher reasoning effort.

The result, reported by The Verge on October 27, suggests that advanced AI models can translate legacy code while preserving how the original software works.

This is particularly important for banks and other financial institutions. Their systems handle payments, account balances, interest calculations and millions of other transactions. Any change in how these systems process information could lead to costly errors.

Behavioral preservation means the translated software produces the same results as the original system under the conditions being tested. For example, an application calculating interest must follow the same rules for interest rates, rounding and account balances after its code is converted.

If the new software changes even one of these calculations, it could create financial discrepancies despite running without technical errors. OpenAI’s reported 98% accuracy is a promising result, but it needs to be understood in context. The figure comes from a specific evaluation. It does not mean AI can modernize an entire banking system with a guaranteed 98% success rate.

The remaining errors also matter. Even a small number of incorrect results could cause serious problems if they affect critical financial transactions.

AI could help banks speed up COBOL modernization and reduce some of the work involved. However, financial institutions must still test the new software carefully to ensure it produces accurate results and works reliably in real-world conditions.

Anthropic Says Claude Can Help Banks Understand Their Old Software

Anthropic says its Claude coding tools can help banks understand old software and simplify COBOL modernization. One of the biggest challenges is identifying how legacy applications work. Many banking systems contain business rules added over several decades. 

Their original developers may have left, and existing documentation may be outdated. Before replacing these systems, engineers must understand how the code works, how data moves between applications and which business rules must remain unchanged.

Claude can help analyze COBOL code, document existing systems, identify connections between applications, generate tests and assist with writing replacement code. This could reduce the time engineers spend examining legacy software.

However, AI-generated explanations and code still require human review. Banks must verify that the tools correctly identify business rules before using them to replace critical financial systems.

Amazon Wants AI to Modernize Entire Banking Applications

Amazon Web Services (AWS) is developing AI tools to help banks replace outdated software. Its AWS Transform service can analyze legacy applications, identify business rules and support code modernization.

On September 29, 2026, AWS announced a partnership with banking technology company Thought Machine to speed up legacy banking system migrations. The companies are combining AWS Transform with Thought Machine’s Vault Forge technology to analyze older mainframe applications and turn existing financial rules into new products for testing.

Thought Machine says this approach could reduce some migration processes from years to days. However, this does not mean an entire banking system can be replaced safely in just a few days.

Banks must still check data accuracy, regulatory requirements, security and connections with other systems before deploying new software.

The modernization process involves three main steps: analyzing existing COBOL code, developing replacement applications and testing the new software against the original system.

AWS also stresses the need for human review before AI-generated code is deployed. Banks must verify that the new applications follow the same business rules and process transactions correctly.

IBM Says Replacing COBOL Is Not the Same as Modernizing a Bank

IBM is also using AI to help businesses modernize COBOL applications. The company has spent decades providing the mainframe systems that banks use to process transactions and manage critical operations.

In 2023, IBM introduced watsonx Code Assistant for Z. The tool helps developers understand legacy applications, convert selected COBOL code into Java and test the results.

However, IBM argues that rewriting COBOL code does not automatically mean banks should replace their mainframes. These systems handle transaction processing, security, data recovery and connections with other business applications.

In February 2026, IBM executive Rob Thomas highlighted the difference between modernizing software and replacing the infrastructure that runs it.

IBM also estimates that around 40% of COBOL workloads run on distributed systems such as Windows and Linux rather than mainframes. This means banks can update their applications without necessarily changing their underlying infrastructure.

IBM has reported improvements from its AI modernization tools. In one customer example, the company said its tools reduced the time needed to identify certain unnecessary COBOL routines by 94%, cutting the task from around eight hours to 30 minutes.

These results apply to a specific customer and do not guarantee similar improvements across all projects.

IBM’s approach shows that banks can use AI to improve legacy software while keeping their existing infrastructure where it still meets their needs.

Why a 2% Error Rate Could Be Dangerous for Banks

AI-assisted COBOL modernization must meet strict accuracy requirements. An incorrect chatbot response may cause inconvenience, but an error in banking software could lead to financial losses, customer disputes and regulatory issues.

Consider a banking application that processes one million transactions. If 2% were processed incorrectly, that would mean 20,000 errors. This is a hypothetical example, not a prediction based on OpenAI’s reported 98% behavioral preservation score.

Banks must test replacement software to ensure it follows the same rules as the original system. Testing should cover unusual transactions, account histories, financial calculations and system failures.

The new software must also work correctly with databases and other connected banking applications. An error in one component could affect several services. Banks can reduce these risks by running old and new systems in parallel and comparing their results before switching over. 

They can also use independent code reviews and formal verification to check specific software properties. AWS has also highlighted the importance of giving AI coding tools enough information about existing code, dependencies and business rules. If a model misses connections between applications, it may produce incorrect results.

For banks, successful COBOL modernization requires more than code that runs. The replacement system must produce accurate results and work reliably across the wider banking infrastructure.

ALSO READ: Bank of America Hires 1,000 Contractors to Fix AI-Detected Security Flaws

AI Could Reduce the Cost of Modernizing Banking Systems

Modernizing legacy banking systems can be expensive. Banks often need large teams of engineers, consultants, security experts and business analysts to understand and replace old applications. These projects can take years to complete.

AI coding tools could reduce some of this work by helping developers identify software dependencies, document business rules, generate tests and translate COBOL code. This would allow engineers to spend more time on complex tasks.

AWS says its modernization tools can shorten some migration projects from years to months. Thought Machine has also claimed that its technology can speed up certain stages of banking modernization.

However, there is no reliable industry-wide estimate of how much AI can reduce the total cost of replacing core banking systems. The savings will depend on each bank’s existing technology, documentation and testing requirements.

Banks must also account for the ongoing costs of new systems. Cloud services can offer flexibility but may introduce additional expenses for computing, data transfers, security and maintenance.

The goal of AI-assisted modernization should be to improve system reliability and reduce long-term costs, not simply replace COBOL code with a newer programming language.

Will AI Replace COBOL Programmers?

Will AI Replace COBOL Programmers?

AI coding tools are changing how developers work, but COBOL programmers remain important to banking system modernization. Many legacy applications contain business rules that are poorly documented. 

Experienced COBOL developers understand how these systems process transactions and handle financial operations. AI can help analyze and translate the code, but it cannot replace the need for human knowledge and oversight.

In a March 2026 interview with ITPro, AWS executive Asa Kalavade said experienced COBOL engineers would continue to play an important role as AI takes on more modernization work. Developers may increasingly use AI to analyze code, document business rules and generate replacement applications. 

Their work will also involve checking AI-generated results and ensuring new systems operate correctly. AI could reduce the time spent on repetitive coding and analysis tasks, but its overall impact on COBOL jobs remains uncertain.

For banks, one key priority is preserving the knowledge of experienced developers before they retire. AI tools could help document how legacy applications work and make that information easier for future teams to use.

Banks May Not Need to Replace COBOL Completely

Banks may not need to replace every COBOL application to modernize their technology. Many legacy systems still handle financial transactions reliably and can continue to serve their purpose.

Instead, banks can update selected parts of their systems. They might keep existing transaction-processing software while building modern interfaces for mobile banking apps and other services. AI tools can also help document old code, identify unused functions and make software easier to maintain. 

Other applications may need to be rewritten or moved to newer infrastructure. The right approach depends on each bank’s technical needs, security requirements and long-term costs. COBOL modernization does not always mean abandoning the language. It can involve improving existing applications, converting selected code or rebuilding entire systems. 

The main goal is to make banking software easier to maintain, update and connect with modern technology while keeping financial transactions accurate and secure.

AI Could Help Banks Modernize Decades-Old COBOL Systems

Banks have relied on COBOL for decades, but maintaining these older systems can be expensive and time-consuming. Replacing them also carries risks because they handle critical financial transactions.

AI coding tools could help banks address this challenge. Models from OpenAI, Anthropic, IBM and AWS can help developers analyze legacy code, understand business rules and convert applications into newer programming languages.

However, AI cannot replace the need for careful testing and human oversight. Banks must ensure that modernized systems process transactions accurately, protect customer data and meet regulatory requirements.

AI’s biggest contribution may be helping engineers understand and update decades-old software without rebuilding every system from scratch. The goal is to make banking technology easier to maintain while keeping essential financial services reliable and secure.

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China’s AI Bubble Has Burst, Wiping Out $480 Billion in Market Value

China’s AI stocks have suffered a dramatic selloff, with nearly $480 billion erased from the market as investors question whether the country’s technology boom has moved too far ahead of actual profits.

China’s artificial intelligence boom is facing its biggest financial reality check yet. A sharp selloff in Chinese technology stocks has erased an estimated $480 billion in market value, with some of the country’s most prominent AI chipmakers and robotics companies losing nearly half their value.

The downturn has hit the STAR50 index, which tracks major technology companies listed on Shanghai’s STAR Market. The index has fallen approximately 40% from its recent peak, according to an October 26 report by Reuters.

The losses mark a dramatic reversal for an industry that attracted extraordinary investor enthusiasm as China raced to develop domestic AI chips, advanced robotics and alternatives to American technology.

Companies that once saw their shares surge hundreds of percent are now experiencing steep declines as investors reassess their growth prospects. But the collapse in stock prices does not mean China’s AI industry has stopped advancing.

Chinese companies continue developing AI models, processors and robotics systems. What has changed is investors’ willingness to pay high prices for businesses whose future profits remain uncertain.

The selloff also raises questions about whether similar pressures could eventually affect American technology companies, which continue spending billions of dollars on AI infrastructure.

ALSO READ: China’s AI Industry: Key Statistics and Data (2026)

China’s AI Stocks Have Lost Nearly $480 Billion

The scale of the decline reflects how heavily investors had concentrated their money in companies associated with artificial intelligence.

China’s STAR50 index has dropped roughly 40% in less than four months, wiping out an estimated $480 billion in market capitalization.

The index includes companies involved in semiconductors, advanced computing and other strategic technologies.

Some of the sharpest losses have occurred among businesses that benefited most from the AI investment boom.

CompanyIndustryReported decline
Unitree RoboticsHumanoid roboticsApproximately 50% since August
MetaX Integrated CircuitsAI processorsApproximately 50% since July
Moore ThreadsGraphics processorsApproximately 50% since July
CXMTMemory chipsMore than 25% in one month
Zhongji InnolightOptical networkingApproximately 60% from its peak
Eoptolink TechnologyOptical networkingApproximately 60% from its peak

Source: Reuters, October 26, 2026. The figures cover different periods and are not directly comparable.

The declines are particularly striking given how enthusiastically investors initially welcomed several of these companies.

MetaX and Moore Threads saw their shares jump approximately 700% and 400%, respectively, during their stock market debuts in 2025.

Unitree Robotics attracted enormous demand during its initial public offering, with retail investors reportedly submitting orders worth thousands of times the shares available.

Those gains reflected expectations that China’s domestic technology companies would benefit from government support, growing AI demand and restrictions on access to American technology.

But investor expectations have changed. As share prices fell, China’s broader stock market also weakened. The CSI300 index, which tracks large companies listed in Shanghai and Shenzhen, entered bear-market territory after declining more than 20% from its June high.

The downturn suggests that the selloff is no longer limited to a small group of speculative technology companies.

Why Is China’s AI Bubble Bursting?

Why Is China's AI Bubble Bursting?

The correction reflects a combination of inflated valuations, concerns about profitability and uncertainty surrounding China’s economic outlook. AI stock valuations became difficult to justify.

During the boom, investors paid substantial premiums for companies expected to benefit from the rapid growth of artificial intelligence. Those expectations pushed valuations far above the earnings many businesses were generating.

According to Reuters, the STAR50 index was trading at approximately 100 times trailing earnings even after its recent decline. Earlier in the year, its valuation had approached 250 times earnings.

By comparison, the Nasdaq 100 traded at approximately 30 times earnings at the time of the report. The difference shows how much future growth investors had already priced into Chinese AI stocks.

When confidence weakened, those high valuations left little room for disappointment. AI infrastructure spending has not guaranteed profits

Developing advanced AI systems requires significant investment in computing hardware, data centers, electricity and networking equipment.

Investors initially expected suppliers of those technologies to benefit from years of rapid demand growth.

But the financial returns remain uncertain. Companies can spend billions expanding AI infrastructure without generating enough revenue to recover those costs quickly.

That uncertainty has become more important as investors demand evidence that AI-related businesses can produce sustainable profits.

U.S. technology restrictions have added pressure

China’s AI industry also faces challenges from American export restrictions. The United States has limited Chinese access to some advanced semiconductors and chipmaking technologies.

Additional trade measures could affect Chinese companies supplying equipment to international data centers.

Reuters reported that concerns about potential U.S. restrictions contributed to sharp declines in shares of optical networking suppliers Zhongji Innolight and Eoptolink.

These companies supply components used to connect processors inside high-performance computing systems. Any disruption to international sales could weaken their growth prospects.

China’s wider economic problems are affecting confidence

The AI selloff is unfolding against a difficult economic backdrop. Weak domestic demand, concerns about corporate earnings and uncertainty over economic stimulus have made investors more cautious.

The decline in the CSI300 indicates that broader market conditions are contributing to the pressure on technology stocks.

As investors reduce their exposure to riskier assets, companies with high valuations and uncertain earnings are particularly vulnerable.

China’s AI Boom Has Become a Problem for Beijing

The stock market decline is also a setback for China’s broader technology ambitions.

Beijing has made artificial intelligence, semiconductors and robotics national priorities. Its policies aim to reduce dependence on foreign technology while strengthening China’s position in advanced manufacturing.

A strong domestic stock market was expected to help finance that transition. Instead, the collapse in AI-related shares is making investors more cautious about funding technology companies.

According to Reuters’ October 26 investigation, AI-related stocks had grown to account for approximately 42% of market capitalization and 57% of trading turnover across mainland Chinese A-shares and Hong Kong H-shares, based on Goldman Sachs research.

That concentration left investors particularly exposed when technology shares began falling. The consequences could extend beyond individual shareholders.

Companies preparing initial public offerings may find it harder to attract investors. Businesses seeking additional capital may also face pressure to lower their valuations.

Hong Hao, chief investment officer at Lotus Asset Management, warned that the downturn could disrupt fundraising plans for companies hoping to list on public markets. For Beijing, this creates a difficult balance.

China wants investors to support strategically important technology businesses. But excessive speculation can produce market instability and undermine confidence. The recent selloff illustrates that tension.

ALSO READ: AI Market Concentration Statistics 2025-2026

Could China’s AI Stock Crash Spread to the United States?

China’s correction is raising concerns about the sustainability of the wider AI investment boom. American technology companies have committed enormous resources to developing advanced models, building data centers and purchasing specialized processors.

Many of those investments depend on expectations of continued growth in AI demand. The comparison between Chinese and American technology stocks is striking.

According to Reuters’ October 27 video analysis, China’s STAR50 had declined approximately 40% over four months, compared with a roughly 6% retreat in the Nasdaq. That difference suggests investors have reassessed Chinese AI valuations more aggressively.

However, it does not establish that American technology stocks will experience the same decline. The markets have different company structures, earnings profiles and exposure to government policies.

Major U.S. technology companies also generate substantial revenue from established businesses, including cloud computing, advertising and enterprise services. Nevertheless, the underlying financial question is similar: Will future AI revenue justify today’s investment?

Investors will increasingly look for evidence that companies can turn demand for AI technology into sustainable earnings. A failure to meet those expectations could trigger further corrections.

China’s AI Industry Is Not Collapsing, Even as Its Stocks Fall

China's AI Industry Is Not Collapsing, Even as Its Stocks Fall

The distinction between falling stock prices and technological progress is important. China continues developing AI models, semiconductor technologies and robotics systems despite the market downturn.

The country also remains committed to reducing its dependence on foreign technology. A company can lose a significant portion of its stock market value without experiencing an equivalent decline in its research capabilities or commercial operations.

Likewise, a falling share price does not necessarily indicate that its products have become less competitive.

Some analysts believe the correction could create opportunities for investors to buy shares in companies with stronger financial prospects. Others warn that valuations remain elevated.

Even after the decline, the STAR50 was trading at approximately 100 times trailing earnings, compared with roughly 30 times for the Nasdaq 100, Reuters reported.

That difference suggests Chinese technology stocks may remain vulnerable if earnings fail to meet expectations. The selloff could therefore continue even if the underlying technology sector keeps expanding.

What Happens Next?

China’s AI market correction will test whether investors remain willing to finance the country’s technology ambitions at the same pace. Three developments will be particularly important.

First, investors will watch whether AI chipmakers and infrastructure suppliers can demonstrate sustained revenue growth.

Second, U.S. trade restrictions could affect Chinese companies that depend on overseas customers, especially suppliers of data center equipment.

Third, Beijing’s response may influence whether investor confidence stabilizes or deteriorates further.

The broader global AI industry will also be watching. China’s selloff is a reminder that technological progress and financial returns do not always move together. Companies can develop increasingly capable AI systems while their investors lose money because expectations were too high.

The $480 billion decline is evidence of a major correction in China’s AI-related stock market, not proof that artificial intelligence itself has failed. That distinction will matter as investors assess whether the downturn is a temporary reset in valuations or the beginning of a longer period of financial pressure.

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China’s AI Bubble Bursts: What Happens to ChatGPT and Nvidia?

China’s AI stocks have lost nearly $480 billion in market value as investors question whether the technology can deliver on its enormous promises. The crash is raising fresh concerns about Nvidia, OpenAI and the sustainability of the global AI boom.

China’s artificial intelligence boom has suffered a dramatic reversal, wiping out approximately $480 billion in stock market value in less than four months and raising an uncomfortable question for Silicon Valley: Could the same thing happen to America’s AI giants?

China’s STAR50 index, which includes major semiconductor and technology companies, has fallen roughly 40% from its recent peak. Some of the country’s most closely watched AI and robotics companies have lost half their market value, while the broader Chinese stock market has entered bear-market territory.

According to an October 26 Reuters investigation, the selloff reflects growing concerns about inflated valuations, uncertain AI demand, international trade restrictions and whether companies can generate enough profit to justify their enormous investments.

The downturn comes as American technology companies continue pouring billions of dollars into data centers, advanced chips and increasingly capable AI models.

For Nvidia, which supplies much of the computing hardware used to develop AI systems, China’s market turmoil raises questions about future demand and the sustainability of infrastructure spending.

For OpenAI, the company behind ChatGPT, the implications are different. A decline in investor confidence could make funding more expensive and increase pressure to turn AI adoption into sustainable revenue.

Neither Nvidia nor OpenAI faces an immediate collapse because of China’s selloff. But the correction provides an early warning about what can happen when expectations for AI growth move faster than the financial results supporting them.

China’s AI Stocks Have Lost $480 Billion in Four Months

China’s technology sector has experienced one of its sharpest market reversals in recent years.

The STAR50 index, which tracks 50 companies listed on Shanghai’s technology-focused STAR Market, has declined approximately 40% in less than four months.

The downturn has erased an estimated $480 billion in market value.

China’s broader CSI300 index has also fallen roughly 20% from its June high, reflecting weakness beyond the technology sector.

The selloff has been particularly severe among companies associated with AI chips, robotics and data center infrastructure.

CompanyBusinessReported stock decline
Unitree RoboticsHumanoid robotsApproximately 50% since August
CXMTMemory chipsMore than 25% in one month
MetaX Integrated CircuitsAI processorsApproximately 50% since July
Moore ThreadsGraphics processorsApproximately 50% since July
Zhongji InnolightOptical networking componentsApproximately 60% from its high
Eoptolink TechnologyOptical networking componentsApproximately 60% from its high

Source: Reuters, October 26, 2026. Declines refer to different starting dates and are not directly comparable.

The losses are especially striking because many of these companies had previously attracted extraordinary investor enthusiasm.

MetaX and Moore Threads surged approximately 700% and 400%, respectively, during their stock market debuts in 2025.

Unitree’s public offering attracted retail orders roughly 8,000 times the shares available, illustrating the intensity of demand for companies associated with China’s robotics ambitions.

That enthusiasm has now reversed.

Reuters reported that AI-related stocks accounted for approximately 42% of the combined market capitalization and 57% of trading turnover across mainland Chinese A-shares and Hong Kong H-shares, citing Goldman Sachs research.

The concentration meant that falling technology stocks affected a substantial portion of the market.

China’s downturn also contrasts with the more limited correction in the United States.

At the time of Reuters’ report, the Nasdaq had declined approximately 6% from a record high reached three weeks earlier.

The comparison suggests that Chinese investors have been quicker to reassess the prices they are willing to pay for AI-related growth.

However, the selloff does not establish that the underlying technology has failed.

Stock prices reflect expectations about future profits. Those expectations can change sharply even when companies continue developing useful products.

Why China’s AI Bubble Is Bursting

Why China's AI Bubble Is Bursting

There is no single event responsible for China’s AI market decline.

Instead, several financial and economic pressures have combined to undermine investor confidence.

1. AI companies became too expensive

Investors spent much of the previous two years buying shares in businesses associated with AI development. That demand pushed valuations far above levels supported by current earnings.

Even after its 40% decline, China’s STAR50 index was trading at approximately 100 times trailing earnings, according to Reuters.

That compares with roughly 30 times earnings for the Nasdaq 100 at the time of the report. The STAR50’s valuation had previously approached 250 times earnings.

Such high multiples indicate that investors were paying substantial premiums for expected future growth. When confidence weakened, those valuations became difficult to defend.

2. Investors are questioning real AI demand

Developing advanced AI requires enormous investment in processors, networking equipment, electricity and data centers.

But spending on infrastructure does not automatically translate into profitable businesses.

Investors are increasingly asking whether demand for AI services will grow quickly enough to support the companies supplying that infrastructure.

A slowdown in orders could affect chipmakers, networking suppliers and data center equipment manufacturers.

The concern is particularly significant for companies whose valuations assume years of rapid expansion.

3. U.S. restrictions threaten Chinese technology companies

Trade restrictions have added another layer of uncertainty. Washington has limited China’s access to advanced American AI chips, while additional restrictions could affect Chinese companies supplying equipment to overseas data centers.

Reuters reported that concerns about possible U.S. restrictions contributed to steep declines in Zhongji Innolight and Eoptolink, two suppliers of optical networking components.

Those companies are important because modern AI data centers require high-speed connections between processors.

If Chinese suppliers lose access to major international customers, their revenue expectations could weaken.

4. China’s broader economy is adding pressure

The technology selloff is occurring alongside wider concerns about China’s economy. Weak domestic demand, uncertainty about economic stimulus and pressure on corporate profits have made investors more cautious.

The decline in AI shares has therefore become part of a broader market correction rather than an isolated problem affecting technology companies.

Reuters reported on October 23 that China’s CSI300 had entered a bear market after falling more than 20% from its June closing peak. Business Recorder

The result is a difficult environment for companies seeking new investment. Even businesses with promising technology may struggle to raise capital if investors become less willing to fund ambitious growth plans.

What Does China’s AI Crash Mean for Nvidia?

Nvidia faces two separate risks from China’s technology downturn: weaker demand for AI infrastructure and growing competition from domestic Chinese chipmakers.

The company has benefited enormously from the global expansion of AI computing. Its processors are used to train and operate advanced models, including systems developed by OpenAI and other major technology companies.

But China’s market is becoming more difficult for Nvidia. According to Reuters’ October 13 report on China’s AI chip market, Nvidia’s share of Chinese data center AI accelerator shipments fell to 34% in the first half of 2026, down from a year earlier.

The company shipped approximately 678,000 AI accelerators during the period, a 44% year-over-year decline. Meanwhile, Huawei increased its shipments to approximately 572,000 accelerators, securing a 28% market share.

The figures suggest that Chinese technology companies are becoming more capable of supplying their domestic market. U.S. export restrictions have also limited Nvidia’s ability to sell its most advanced processors in China. That creates a complicated situation.

If Chinese AI infrastructure investment slows, demand for processors could weaken. But even if spending remains strong, Nvidia may capture a smaller share because of trade restrictions and domestic competition. The broader global risk is different.

Nvidia’s business depends heavily on technology companies continuing to invest in AI computing. If China’s correction causes investors elsewhere to question the returns on data center spending, American technology companies could face greater pressure to control their infrastructure budgets.

That could eventually affect Nvidia’s growth. However, there is no verified evidence that China’s October selloff has directly caused a major reduction in Nvidia’s global chip orders.

The distinction matters because Nvidia’s customers operate across multiple markets, and demand outside China could offset some regional weakness. The immediate evidence also points against assuming a worldwide collapse.

On October 26, Nvidia helped lead gains in American technology stocks, according to Associated Press reporting on global markets. Investors are clearly becoming more cautious about AI valuations, but they have not abandoned the technology altogether.

ALSO READ: Nvidia and Broadcom Face Less Risk From US AI Data Center Power Shortage

What Happens to ChatGPT and OpenAI if the AI Bubble Bursts?

China’s stock market decline does not directly threaten ChatGPT’s operation. ChatGPT is developed by OpenAI, a U.S.-based company whose products and funding arrangements are separate from the Chinese companies experiencing the selloff.

There is no evidence that the decline in China’s STAR50 index has caused ChatGPT outages, reduced its capabilities or forced OpenAI to change its subscription prices. The more important question concerns the economics of developing increasingly advanced AI models.

Training frontier models requires enormous computing resources. Operating those models for millions of users also creates substantial ongoing costs.

OpenAI must generate enough revenue and secure enough financing to support those expenses. A broader loss of confidence in AI investments could make that task more difficult.

Investors might demand stronger evidence of profitability before providing additional capital. Data center financing could become more expensive, and AI companies might face pressure to reduce spending.

That could affect the pace of model development and the economics of services such as ChatGPT.

But the consequences would depend on how far the correction spreads. A selloff confined largely to Chinese technology stocks would have a much smaller impact than a global withdrawal of investment from AI infrastructure.

Researchers at Chatham House have warned that a broader AI market correction could force developers to reconsider expensive business models and focus more closely on financial sustainability.

Such a shift could lead to changes in product pricing, investment priorities and competition. It could also benefit companies that develop efficient models requiring less computing power.

For ChatGPT users, however, none of those outcomes is inevitable.

The current evidence supports concerns about future funding and profitability, not claims that ChatGPT is about to disappear or become significantly more expensive.

ALSO READ: AI Company Burn Rate Statistics 2025-2026

China’s Cheaper AI Models Could Put More Pressure on OpenAI

China's Cheaper AI Models Could Put More Pressure on OpenAI

There is another reason China’s AI downturn matters to American companies.

Chinese developers have increasingly competed by releasing capable AI models at lower costs.

That strategy challenges the assumption that building the most competitive AI systems always requires the largest possible infrastructure budgets.

In a November 2025 analysis, Chatham House argued that the growing popularity of lower-cost Chinese models could increase pressure on American developers whose businesses depend on expensive proprietary systems.

A stock market crash does not necessarily eliminate that competition.

Chinese developers may respond to tighter financing conditions by reducing prices, improving efficiency or concentrating resources on their strongest products.

That could create an unusual outcome: China’s AI investors lose money while some Chinese AI technologies become more competitive.

For OpenAI, Anthropic and other American developers, the threat would come from customers choosing cheaper alternatives rather than from the Chinese stock market decline itself.

Businesses evaluating AI systems typically consider performance, reliability, security and cost.

If lower-cost models can satisfy their requirements, companies may have less reason to pay premium prices for competing services.

However, there is no guarantee that falling valuations will produce better or cheaper Chinese models. Reduced access to capital could also delay research and product development.

Both outcomes remain possible.

Could America’s AI Bubble Burst Next?

China’s market correction is raising a question that investors have been debating for months: Are American AI companies also valued too highly?

The comparison is difficult to ignore. China’s STAR50 has fallen approximately 40%, while the Nasdaq was down roughly 6% from its recent record when Reuters published its October 26 report.

The gap does not mean American technology stocks are immune to a similar correction. It does show that investors in the two markets have responded differently to concerns about AI valuations.

American technology companies continue to invest heavily in data centers, processors and new AI products. The financial justification for those investments depends on future demand and revenue growth.

If companies spend more on infrastructure than their AI businesses can eventually support, investors may reassess their valuations. The same concerns contributed to China’s selloff.

However, there are important differences between the markets. Large American technology companies such as Microsoft, Alphabet and Meta have established businesses that generate substantial revenue outside their newer AI products.

Many smaller AI companies depend more heavily on external financing. That distinction could determine which businesses are most vulnerable if investment conditions deteriorate.

The Bank of England’s concerns about a potential AI market correction, discussed by Chatham House, illustrate why financial institutions are paying attention to the industry’s growing valuations and spending commitments.

A market correction would not necessarily mean that AI technology had failed.

The internet continued growing after the dot-com crash of 2000, even though many companies that attracted investment during the boom disappeared.

AI could follow a similar pattern, with useful technologies surviving while weaker business models struggle.

But historical comparisons cannot predict when a correction will occur or how severe it might become.

China’s AI Crash Could Change Where Investors Put Their Money

One immediate consequence of China’s selloff is that investors are becoming more selective. During the AI boom, companies supplying processors, networking equipment and robotics technology attracted enormous attention.

Their share prices often reflected expectations of rapid growth over many years. The correction has forced investors to reconsider those assumptions. Reuters reported that the downturn could make it harder for Chinese technology companies to raise money through public listings.

Some investors are shifting toward defensive assets, while others are looking for opportunities among companies whose valuations have fallen. Not everyone believes the decline signals a lasting crisis.

Goldman Sachs included several Chinese AI-related companies on a revised recommendation list in October, while strategists at BNP Paribas identified selective buying opportunities.

That suggests the market is reassessing individual companies rather than rejecting every business associated with artificial intelligence. Reuters

The distinction could become increasingly important. Companies that demonstrate sustainable revenue, competitive products and manageable costs may continue attracting investment.

Those relying primarily on expectations of future AI demand could face greater difficulty. The same principle applies to American companies.

For Nvidia, investors will watch whether customers continue purchasing advanced processors at the expected pace.

For OpenAI, attention will focus on revenue growth, operating costs and its ability to finance future computing requirements.

For Chinese chipmakers and robotics companies, the challenge is proving that their businesses can justify their valuations after the recent decline.

The AI Boom Is Facing a Reality Check

China’s AI stock market crash has exposed the financial risks behind one of the world’s largest technology investment booms. The STAR50’s 40% decline and the destruction of approximately $480 billion in market value show how quickly enthusiasm can reverse when investors question future growth.

But the downturn should not be confused with the collapse of artificial intelligence itself. Chinese companies are still developing AI processors, robotics systems and language models. American technology companies continue building data centers and releasing new products.

The technology is advancing even as investors reassess what those advances are worth. For Nvidia, the key risk is that weaker infrastructure spending and growing Chinese competition could eventually affect chip demand.

For OpenAI, the challenge is demonstrating that services such as ChatGPT can support the enormous costs of developing and operating advanced AI systems.

Neither company’s future can be determined by a single Chinese stock market correction. The bigger question is whether the global AI industry can generate enough revenue to support the extraordinary investment flowing into it.

China’s investors have already delivered one warning. The AI race is no longer just about who can build the most powerful technology. It is increasingly about who can turn that technology into a sustainable business.

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Tech Layoffs 2026: Nearly 200,000 workers has been laid off

Tech layoffs in 2026 have affected nearly 200,000 workers as major technology companies continue to cut jobs and restructure their businesses. Amazon, Oracle, Meta, Microsoft, PayPal and Cisco are among the companies that have announced significant workforce reductions this year. 

These job cuts are linked to several factors, including cost-cutting plans, business restructuring, earlier overhiring and increased investment in artificial intelligence (AI). While some companies are reducing management roles to improve efficiency, others are shifting their budgets towards AI, cloud computing and data center infrastructure. 

However, AI is not the only reason behind the latest tech layoffs. Financial pressure and changing business priorities have also contributed to workforce reductions. This article covers the biggest tech layoffs of 2026, the number of jobs affected at major companies and the key reasons behind these workforce cuts.

ALSO READ: AI Workforce Impact Statistics – Jobs at Risk as Global Economy Reshapes

Tech Layoffs 2026

Tech layoffs in 2026 have affected thousands of employees at major technology companies. Amazon, Oracle, Meta, Microsoft and PayPal are among the companies that have announced large job cuts. The table below shows the reported number of jobs affected at each company, ranked from highest to lowest.

CompanyReported jobs affected
Amazon30,000
Oracle21,000
Meta8,000
Microsoft4,800
PayPal~4,800
Cisco~4000
Intuit3,000
Uber3,300
Visa2,600
Atlassian1,600
WixAround 1,000
NetflixAround 1,000
Snap1,000
LinkedInAround 875
Coinbase700
Monday.comAround 630
ZillowMore than 500
Electronic Arts400
GrouponAround 400
RobinhoodAround 290
TikTok250
EtsyAround 220
AppleMore than 200
Samsung179
WorkdayAround 140
Redwood Materials135
Eidos-Montreal124
Patreon93
Salesforce86

Biggest Tech Layoffs of 2026

Biggest Tech Layoffs of 2026

1. Amazon

Amazon cut around 30,000 corporate jobs in two major rounds. The company eliminated about 14,000 positions in October 2025 and another 16,000 in January 2026.

In October 2026, Amazon made further job cuts affecting fewer than 1,000 employees, mainly in its online retail business. Workers in the United States, India and the United Kingdom were among those affected.

Amazon said the cuts would help reduce management layers, remove unnecessary processes and improve efficiency. The company is also using more AI tools, but it has not linked every job cut to AI. Its restructuring is also connected to organizational changes and earlier overhiring.

2. Oracle

Oracle cut around 21,000 jobs, reducing its workforce by about 13% during fiscal 2026, according to its annual filing. The company had approximately 141,000 employees on May 31, 2026, down from 162,000 a year earlier.

Oracle has linked some workforce reductions to its growing use of AI across its business. The company is also spending heavily on cloud computing and data centers to expand its AI services. These investments have added financial pressure as Oracle continues to grow its AI infrastructure business.

3. Meta

Meta announced plans to lay off around 8,000 employees, or about 10% of its workforce, in April 2026. The company also planned to leave 6,000 open positions unfilled.

Meta said the job cuts would help reduce costs and improve efficiency. The company plans to invest more in AI infrastructure and hire skilled workers for specialized roles. These layoffs reflect Meta’s shift in spending toward AI while reducing its workforce in other areas.

4. Microsoft

Microsoft announced 4,800 job cuts in July 2026, affecting several teams, including its Xbox gaming division. Earlier in the year, the company also reduced its workforce and offered voluntary buyouts to eligible employees. In October, Microsoft introduced another voluntary exit offer covering around 60,000 employees across the US, India, the UK and Canada.

These voluntary exit offers should be counted separately from confirmed layoffs because not every eligible employee will leave the company. Microsoft’s workforce changes are part of its efforts to reorganize teams and control costs while continuing to invest in AI and cloud computing services.

5. PayPal

PayPal plans to cut around 20% of its workforce, affecting nearly 4,800 positions over the next few years. The company is restructuring its operations to reduce costs and improve efficiency.

The plan includes removing duplicate roles, reducing management layers and using more AI tools across its business. However, these are planned job cuts, not confirmed layoffs completed in 2026. Therefore, the full figure should not be counted as jobs already lost this year.

6. Cisco

Cisco plans to cut nearly 4,000 jobs as part of its business restructuring. The company is shifting its investment toward key technology areas, including artificial intelligence (AI), cybersecurity, silicon and optics.

Despite the layoffs, Cisco will continue to invest in these growing technology sectors. The job cuts reflect the company’s decision to reduce roles in some areas while focusing more resources on technologies it considers important for future growth.

7. Uber

Uber has announced plans to cut around 3,300 jobs in September, equal to about 10% of its corporate workforce.

The company plans to reduce management layers, simplify team structures and change its global office strategy. Uber also plans to invest in drivers, merchants and autonomous vehicle technology. However, the company did not directly link the September layoffs to artificial intelligence (AI).

ALSO READ: Uber Just Gave ChatGPT to 30,000 Workers After Cutting Thousands of Jobs

8. Intuit

Intuit, the company behind TurboTax, QuickBooks and Credit Karma, announced plans to cut around 3,000 jobs, representing approximately 17% of its workforce.

The company said the layoffs would help simplify its operations and increase its focus on artificial intelligence (AI). However, Intuit clarified that AI was not the only reason for the job cuts. The company described the move as part of a broader effort to improve efficiency and simplify its organizational structure.

Tech Layoffs 2025 vs. 2026: Year-by-Year Comparison

Tech companies reported 196,573 workers affected by layoffs in 2026 as of October, according to TrueUp. In 2025, the tracker recorded 245,953 affected workers. The 2026 total remains lower, but more job cuts could be announced before the year ends.

YearReported Tech Layoffs
2026196,573
2025245,953

Source: TrueUp

Tech Employees Impacted by Layoffs

As of October 27, 2026, tech layoffs have affected thousands of employees every month. March recorded the highest number of reported job cuts, with 50,404 employees impacted, followed by May with 34,684 and January with 27,523. 

Tech Layoffs declined in June before rising again in July and September. August recorded the lowest number of job cuts, with 5,606 employees affected, followed by October with 5,941 reported layoffs so far. These figures highlight the ongoing impact of workforce reductions across the technology sector in 2026.

MonthReported Tech Layoffs
January 202627,523
February 202624,881
March 202650,404
April 202612,076
May 202634,684
June 20268,963
July 202614,117
August 20265,606
September 202612,378
October 20265,941

Source: TrueUp

Why Are Tech Companies Laying Off Workers in 2026?

Why Are Tech Companies Laying Off Workers in 2026?

Several factors are behind tech layoffs in 2026. Companies are investing more in AI, cutting costs, changing team structures and adjusting to market conditions. However, AI is not the only reason for job cuts.

  • Increased Investment in Artificial Intelligence: Companies such as Meta, Oracle, Cisco and Monday.com are investing more in AI tools, infrastructure and products. Some businesses are also using automation to change how work is done, which can reduce the need for certain roles.
  • Cost Cutting: Many tech companies are reducing expenses and reviewing their budgets. They are cutting duplicate roles and removing extra management positions to save money. These cuts can happen even when companies continue to earn revenue and invest in new products.
  • Organizational Restructuring: Companies such as Uber, Amazon and Etsy are changing their team structures, management roles and business priorities. These changes can lead to layoffs as companies reorganize their operations. Not every job cut is linked to AI or automation.
  • Changing Market Conditions: Changes in customer demand and business performance are also contributing to tech layoffs. Some companies are reviewing their product plans and reducing spending on projects that no longer fit their goals. Gaming, digital services and consumer technology companies are also cutting jobs as they decide where to focus their resources.

What to Expect From Tech Layoffs in the Coming Months

Tech layoffs may continue in the coming months as companies look for ways to cut costs and improve efficiency. Many businesses are investing more in artificial intelligence (AI), cloud computing and data centers. Therefore, some companies may reduce jobs in certain teams while hiring workers for new roles.

However, AI is not the only reason for job cuts. Financial problems, business changes and earlier hiring decisions may also lead to layoffs. At the same time, demand for workers with skills in AI, cybersecurity, cloud computing and data management may continue.

The total number of tech layoffs in 2026 could rise further if more companies announce job cuts before the year ends. However, it is still unclear whether the final figure will exceed the 2025 total. For workers, learning new skills and keeping up with changes in the technology industry may help them prepare for future job opportunities.

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Anthropic Says Small AI Models May Soon Be Able to Copy Themselves Across Devices

Anthropic has warned that small AI models could soon gain the ability to copy themselves across internet-connected devices without human help. These models could spread like computer worms by exploiting security flaws in connected devices. These devices could include smart TVs, ovens and other household appliances.

Anthropic published a research report on October 12, 2026. The company said small AI models could gain the ability to replicate themselves across Internet of Things (IoT) devices within months. Such systems could be harder to stop if their copies spread across multiple devices instead of relying on a single server.

However, current small AI models still struggle to complete every step reliably. Anthropic’s research points towards a possible cybersecurity risk. However, there is no proof that an AI worm capable of spreading widely is already active in the real world.

Anthropic Tests Whether AI Models Can Replicate Themselves

Anthropic’s Frontier Red Team tested whether AI models could find vulnerable devices, gain access to them, copy their files, and run on other devices without human help.

The researchers focused on internet-connected devices because many consumer Internet of Things (IoT) products have weak security. If an AI model gains access to these devices, it could use their computing power to run elsewhere.

The team tested AI models with 30 billion parameters or fewer to see whether they could perform the tasks needed for self-replication. Several models were able to complete many of these tasks. However, putting all the steps together into a reliable process remained a challenge.

In one simplified test, Anthropic found that the GLM-5.2 model could replicate itself across a test network. It reached seven or eight of the eight target devices in each of five trials.

However, the test used a simplified security setup. The researchers gave the model access to devices through an Android Debug Bridge (ADB) port that did not require authentication. This made it easier to access the test devices than it would be in a properly secured network.

This means the results do not prove that AI models could spread as easily across properly secured devices in the real world.

Small AI Models Could Run on Smart TVs and Other IoT Devices

Small AI Models Could Run on Smart TVs and Other IoT Devices

Anthropic said AI models that can copy themselves may use the computing power of hacked consumer devices instead of expensive data-centre GPUs. Potential targets include:

  • Smart TVs and Android TV boxes: These devices could be targeted if they have weak security.
  • Smart home appliances: Connected refrigerators, ovens and other appliances could be at risk if attackers find security flaws.
  • Security cameras and video-conferencing devices: Some devices have AI chips that can run models directly.
  • Small-business IoT devices: Poorly secured devices could provide extra computing power.

A large AI model could also be split into smaller parts and run across several devices that work together. Anthropic tested a 26-billion-parameter model across 15 Android TV boxes. The experiment showed that low-cost devices could work together to run a model that would normally need more powerful hardware.

However, this approach may be slow. Anthropic estimated that the replication process could take days, depending on the model and hardware.

AI Worms Could Spread Across Devices Without a Central Server

Traditional computer worms spread by exploiting security flaws in computers and networks. Anthropic warned that AI-based worms could use AI models to find vulnerable devices and spread with little human help.

An AI worm could find a weakly protected device, copy its files to another machine, and repeat the process. This could help it spread across multiple devices. Taking one infected device offline might not stop the spread, as other devices could still run copies of the worm.

Anthropic also warned that these worms could use different AI models to perform different tasks. However, researchers have not shown that AI worms can reliably bypass modern security systems or spread widely in real-world networks.

ALSO READ: AI Cyber Attacks Statistics [2025 and beyond]

Small AI Models Could Replicate Themselves by the End of 2026

Anthropic predicts that small AI models could gain the ability to replicate themselves by the end of 2026 if current progress continues. The company studied open-weight models with 30 billion parameters or fewer and tracked how their capabilities improved over time.

However, this is only an estimate. Anthropic has not confirmed when self-replicating AI will become possible. The smallest models tested could not yet complete all the steps needed for reliable self-replication. They would need to improve further to reach that level.

How Self-Replicating AI Differs From Traditional Malware

Traditional malware usually targets specific devices or security flaws. Self-replicating AI could adapt to different devices and systems.

Anthropic warned that AI models could learn how to run on unfamiliar hardware, making them harder to stop. They could also learn from failed attempts and share successful methods with other copies.

However, researchers have not shown that AI worms can bypass all security protections or reliably spread across different devices. The tests focused on individual steps, not the full process working in real-world conditions.

ALSO READ: ARTEX AI Agent Pulled From GitHub After Cyberattacks Target South Korean Banks

How Can Companies Prevent AI Worms From Spreading?

How Can Companies Prevent AI Worms From Spreading?

Anthropic said companies can reduce the risk by securing connected devices and monitoring their networks.

  • Secure devices: Change default passwords, close unused access points and install security updates.
  • Monitor networks: Watch for unusual connections, large file transfers and suspicious activity.
  • Limit access: Restrict what devices can access to reduce the damage from attacks.
  • Detect malware early: Look for signs of automated scanning and malware spreading across devices.
  • Build stronger security: Manufacturers should include better security protections in their products.

Anthropic also recommended limiting how many new devices an infected machine can reach. If each infected device spreads the threat to fewer than one other device on average, the spread should eventually stop.

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Uber Just Gave ChatGPT to 30,000 Workers After Cutting Thousands of Jobs

Uber is rolling out OpenAI’s ChatGPT Work to more than 30,000 employees worldwide, weeks after announcing plans to cut 3,300 corporate jobs. The tool will help staff across departments such as finance, marketing and operations with their daily tasks.

Announced on October 22, 2026, the rollout expands an earlier trial with 1,000 employees. Staff can use ChatGPT Work to analyze data, prepare presentations, research information and manage tasks across workplace apps.

Uber announced the job cuts in September to simplify its structure and reduce management layers. The company has not linked the layoffs to AI, but the timing raises questions about AI adoption as companies reduce their workforces.

Uber Expands ChatGPT Work to All Employees

Uber first tested ChatGPT Work with 1,000 employees in early 2026. The trial included staff from different departments, such as finance, operations and product.

Sumanth Sukumar, Uber’s vice president of engineering, said around 80% of the employees in the trial were not engineers. This shows that Uber is looking at ways to use AI for everyday business tasks, not just software development.

During the trial, employees used ChatGPT Work to analyze business data, spot trends and suggest improvements. They also used it to adapt training materials for different markets and languages and create interactive dashboards.

Uber has not shared how much it will cost to provide ChatGPT Work to its entire workforce. The company plans to track how employees use the tool, which tasks they use it for and whether it helps them work more efficiently.

ALSO READ: Enterprise Generative AI Statistics 2025-2026

How Uber Employees Can Use ChatGPT Work

How Uber Employees Can Use ChatGPT Work

ChatGPT Work is an AI agent available through ChatGPT Enterprise. It can handle tasks that involve several steps and help employees work across different apps.

The tool can connect with workplace apps such as Google Drive, Gmail, Google Calendar and Slack. This allows employees to gather information and complete tasks without having to move between apps as often. Uber employees can use ChatGPT Work to:

  • Research topics and summarize information.
  • Prepare meeting notes, briefs and presentations.
  • Analyze business data and spot trends.
  • Adapt training materials for different languages and markets.
  • Create interactive dashboards and organize daily tasks.
  • Complete work that requires information from multiple apps.

Uber will also provide employee training, approved app integrations and an internal library of AI skills to support the rollout. Engineers will continue to use OpenAI’s Codex for coding and software development.

The rollout is part of Uber’s plan to bring AI tools to employees across different departments. However, the company has not yet shared figures showing how much time or money ChatGPT Work could save.

Uber Expands ChatGPT Access After Announcing Job Cuts

Uber plans to give ChatGPT Work to more than 30,000 employees. The rollout comes after the company announced plans to cut around 3,300 corporate jobs, or about 10% of its corporate workforce.

In September, CEO Dara Khosrowshahi said the cuts would simplify the company’s structure and reduce management levels. Uber has not linked the layoffs to its latest AI rollout.

However, AI has played a role in other job cuts at Uber. In July 2026, the company cut customer service jobs as it increased its use of AI. Former employees also told Business Insider that AI tools were already helping with tasks such as answering questions in Slack and writing replies to riders and drivers.

Uber has not said that AI caused the September job cuts. The company has also not linked those layoffs to the ChatGPT Work rollout.

The expansion shows that Uber is bringing AI into more areas of its business. However, the company has not shared data on how the tool will affect employee productivity, costs or jobs.

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How Uber Will Measure AI Productivity and Cost Savings

Uber has not shared how it will measure the success of ChatGPT Work across the company or how much money it expects to save. The company plans to track how employees use the tool, which tasks they complete with it and what results they achieve. This will help Uber decide how to use AI in other parts of its business.

The rollout also supports OpenAI’s efforts to bring its AI tools into more businesses and make them part of daily work.

For now, Uber is giving employees access to ChatGPT Work and allowing them to explore different ways to use it. The results will show whether the tool helps employees save time, reduce costs or change how certain tasks are done.

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