The News About AI (Infographic)

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Source: Singular Vision

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What AI Researchers Say About When Superintelligence will Arrive

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Oren Etzioni:

To get a more accurate assessment of the opinion of leading researchers in the field, I turned to the Fellows of the American Association for Artificial Intelligence, a group of researchers who are recognized as having made significant, sustained contributions to the field.

In early March 2016, AAAI sent out an anonymous survey on my behalf, posing the following question to 193 fellows:

“In his book, Nick Bostrom has defined Superintelligence as ‘an intellect that is much smarter than the best human brains in practically every field, including scientific creativity, general wisdom and social skills.’ When do you think we will achieve Superintelligence?”

…In essence, according to 92.5 percent of the respondents, superintelligence is beyond the foreseeable horizon.

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What Happens in 60 Seconds in the Internet Economy

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Source

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Smart Home Today and in the Future

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MarketsAndMarkets:

The smart home market is expected to grow from $46.97 Billion in 2015 to $121.73 Billion by 2022, at a CAGR of 14.07% between 2016 and 2022.

Leading vendors:

  1. Honeywell International Inc. (U.S.),
  2. Legrand (France),
  3. Ingersoll-Rand plc. (Ireland),
  4. Johnson Controls Inc. (U.S.),
  5. Schneider Electric SE (France),
  6. Siemens AG (Germany),
  7. ABB Ltd. (Switzerland),
  8. Acuity Brands, Inc. (U.S.),
  9. United Technologies Corporation (U.S.),
  10. Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. (South Korea),
  11. Nest Labs, Inc. (U.S.),
  12. Crestron Electronics, Inc. (U.S.).

CB Insights:

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  • Appliances & Audio Devices: These include household products that function as a conventional appliance or device, yet offer advantages through connectivity, such as Sectorqube‘s MAID Oven and Sonos‘ smart home speakers. Sonos is the most well-funded smart home startup in terms of equity financing.
  • Device Controllers: While most startups produce individual smart home products, these companies produce the devices controlling them. Examples are Peel‘s universal remote and Ivee‘s personal voice assistant, advertised as “Siri for the home.” Both of these companies have received VC funding from Lightspeed Venture Partners and Foundry Group. Most of these products are able to control smart home products from other companies such as Philips and Nest.
  • Energy & Utilities: These are companies that utilize sensors, monitoring tech, and data to conserve water and energy. Ecobee and Rachio, for instance, develop products that monitor and control AC and water sprinkler systems respectively, to help make consumption more efficient. Interestingly, several startups in this category have received funding from corporations and corporate venture capital firms, such as Carrier Corporation, which backed Ecobee, and Amazon’s Alexa Fund, which backed Rachio.
  • Gardening: These companies focus on producing smart products for watering and monitoring household yards, gardens, and plants. This is one of the smaller categories in terms of number of companies. The most well-funded startup in this category is Edyn, which recently raised a $2M Series A round.
  • General Smart Home Solutions: Instead of producing a single smart gadget, these companies build or distribute multi-device systems that automate several parts of your home, such as ecoVent‘s custom vent/sensor system or Vivint‘s third-party device bundles. Vivint, specifically, has secured $145M in equity funding — second in smart homes only to Sonos.
  • Health & Wellness: These are products that assist home occupants in maintaining their health and lifestyle, such as MedMinder Systems‘ smart medicine containers and Beddit‘s under-the-bed health sensor. A notable deal in this category is Hello‘s $40M Series A round last year, which made it the most well-funded smart home startup in health & wellness, with over $50M in equity funding.
  • Home Robots: This category is home to companies that produce robots specifically for maintenance and assistance in a home environment. These include robotic assistant Jibo, whose total equity funding is currently at $52M, and home cleaning robot Neato.
  • Lighting: Taking cues from products such as the Philips Hue, companies like Sequioa Capital-backed LIFX are coming up with their own app-controlled lightbulbs. Others such as Switchmate are going beyond the bulb and building app-controllable light switches.
  • Pet/Baby Monitors: These companies focus on producing video monitors and sensors to monitor pets and babies through the comfort of a smartphone. Most startups in this space, such as Y Combinator alumni Lully and Petcube, are young and still in their early stages of funding.
  • Safety & Security: These companies utilize the internet and home automation technologies to help protect you and your home with monitors, internet-enabled locks, smart smoke detectors, and more. This is one of the larger and more well-funded categories, as companies in this space include Ring, Simplisafe, August Home, andCanary, which have all received over $40M in equity funding.
  • Miscellaneous: Startups in this category have particularly unique offerings, such as Electric Objects‘ dynamic art display, Kamarq‘s sound table, and Notion‘s universal sensor.

 

 

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Cybersecurity market map

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CB Insights:

Network & Endpoint Security: This is the largest category in our market map and includes startups like Red Canary which specializes in protecting an enterprise’s computer networks from vulnerabilities that arise as a result of remotely connecting users’ laptops, tablets, and other electronic devices. Other companies, like Cylance, apply artificial intelligence algorithms to predictively identify and stop malware and advanced threats in defense of endpoints.

IoT/IIoT Security: Startups in this category include Argus Cyber Security, which is an automotive cybersecurity company enabling car manufacturers to protect connected vehicles. Also, Indegy, which provides security for Industrial Control Systems (ICS) used across critical infrastructures, e.g., energy, water utilities, petrochemical plants, manufacturing facilities, etc.

Threat Intelligence: Companies include Flashpoint, which illuminates targeted malicious activities on the deep web and dark web to uncover potential threats and thwart attacks.

Mobile Security: Companies in this category include Zimperium, which delivers enterprise mobile threat protection for Android and iOS devices.

Behavioral Detection: Included are companies like Darktrace, which detects abnormal behavior in organizations in order to identify threats and manage risks from cyberattacks.

Cloud Security: Startups like Tigera offer solutions for enterprises looking for secure application and workload delivery across private, public, and hybrid clouds.

Deception Security: Companies like illusive networks can identify and proactively deceive and disrupt attackers before they can cause harm.

Continuous Network Visibility: Protectwise and others offer solutions for visualizing network activity and responding to cyberattacks in real time.

Risk Remediation: Companies, including AttackIQ, offer solutions for pinpointing vulnerabilities in technologies, people, and processes, with recommendations on how to effectively fill security gaps.

Website Security: Distil Networks and Shape Security offer website developers the ability to identify and police malicious website traffic, including malicious bots and more.

Quantum Encryption: Startups like Post-Quantum offer encrypted wireless and data communications technology that relies on the science underlying quantum mechanics.

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Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning in Focus at Intel Analytics Summit

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Intel Analytics Summit, August 15, 2016 (Source: @MissAmaraKay)

From the most recent edition of the tech bible: Moore’s Law begat faster processing and cheap storage which begat machine learning and big data which begat deep learning and today’s AI Spring. In her opening keynote at the Intel Analytics Summit, which was mostly about machine learning, Intel’s executive vice president Diane Bryant said that we are now “reaching a tipping point where data is the game changer.” (Disclosure: Intel paid my travel expenses).

With the rapid growth of machine-to-machine data exchange we should expect more, according to Bryant: Autonomous vehicles will produce 4 terabytes of data each day, a connected plane will transmit 40 terabytes of data, and the automated, connected factory will generate one petabyte (one million gigabytes) daily.

Another presenter, CB Bohn, Senior Database Engineer at Etsy, the online marketplace, speculated that the tipping point has already happened—when the value of the data exceeded the cost of its storage. Historical data has lots of value left in it, so “why throw it away?” asked Bohn. Cheap storage, added Debora Donato, Director of R&D at Mix Tech, a content discovery platform, has changed the attitudes of businesses towards data and what they can do with it.

Leading-edge enterprises today apply machine learning algorithms to mine and find insights in the ever-expanding data store.  Jason Waxman, corporate vice president and general manager of the data center solutions group at Intel, described how Penn Medicine is improving patient care, using Intel’s TAP open analytics platform. One pilot study focused on sepsis or blood infection which affects more than a million Americans annually and is the ninth leading cause of disease-related deaths and the #1 cause of deaths in intensive care units, according to the Centers for Disease Control (CDC). Penn Medicine was able to correctly identify about 85% of sepsis cases (up from 50%), and made such identifications as much as 30 hours before the onset of septic shock, as opposed to just two hours prior using traditional identification methods.

Saghamitra Deb, Chief Data Scientist at Accenture Technology Labs, talked about using AI to read and annotate documents, a useful machine assistance in many situations. She highlighted textual analysis of clinical trial data that correlates various conditions, leading to new insights and improved personalized medicine.

Candid is a new app that launched recently, applying AI to solve the challenges previous anonymous social platforms could not overcome. CEO Bindu Reddy explained how machine learning helps identify and remove “bad apples”—both inappropriate content and abusers—and recommend relevant groups to Candid users.

Clear Labs differentiate itself by conducting DNA tests that are untargeted and unbiased, aiming to index the world’s food supply and set worldwide standards for “food integrity.” Maria Fernandez Guajardo, vice president of product, described how their molecular analysis of 345 hot dog samples from 75 brands and 10 retailers, discovered that 14.4% of the products tested were “problematic in some way,” mostly because of added ingredients that did not show up on the label. Some consumers, she reported, were especially concerned about hot dogs that claimed to be vegetarians but actually contained meat.

In answer to a question on the future of machine learning from O’Reilly Media’s Ben Lorica, moderator of a panel on distributed analytics, Intel fellow Pradeep Dubey suggested focusing on deep learning as it has been demonstrably successful recently. Michael Franklin of UC Berkeley recommended focusing on machine learning approaches that are usable, understandable and robust, whether of the deep or shallow kind. If an automated system is going to make a decision, he said, “You’d better understand what are the assumptions that went into the data and the algorithms, where does the data you collected differ from those assumptions and how robust is the answer that popped out of the system.”

This was, I believe, a swipe at some of the deep learning practitioners who have admitted publicly that they don’t really understand how their system comes up with its successful results (e.g., Yoshua Bengio: “very often we are in a situation where we do not understand the results of an experiment”). But nothing succeeds like success, whether it is understood or not, and for the last few years deep leaning has become a force of climate change, transforming the AI Winter into the AI Spring.

Pedro Domingos of the University of Washington, in his talk at the event, put the recent resurgence of deep learning in the historical perspective of five different approaches (and solutions) to artificial intelligence: Symbolists (inverse deduction), Connectionists (backpropagation—popular with the deep learning crowd), Evolutionaries (genetic programming), Bayesians (probabilistic inference) and Analogizers (kernel machines). Domingos’ book, The Master Algorithm, is a rallying cry for finding the best of all worlds, the one algorithm that will unite all approaches and provide the answer to life, the universe, and everything.

Before we get to the time when big algorithm will tell us what to do whether we understand it or not, humans are still needed to make sense of all the data they—and the machines—generate. The last panel of the Analytics Summit was, appropriately, a discussion of educating future data scientist. The panelists, executives with Coursera (Emily Glassberg Sands), Kaggle (Anthony Goldboom), Continuum Analytics (Travis Oliphant), Metis (Rumman Chowdhury), and Galvanize (Ryan Orban), moderated by Edd Wilder-James of Silicon Valley Data Science, represented the burgeoning world of data science education.

The good news is that one got the impression that they are now training a vastly expanded pool of people, with very diverse backgrounds and experiences, that either want to become proficient in data analysis or want to be able to speak, as general business managers, the data scientist’s language. The challenge today is not so much the widely-discussed shortage of data scientists but the failure by many companies to effectively integrate and support the work of data scientists. The right internal champion, the panelists agree, one who understands the potential of analytics and machine learning and knows how to get the required resources, is key to the success of the data science team.

Originally published on Forbes.com

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Mobile Banking and Millennials

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BI Intelligence:

The smartphone is becoming the foundation of the future of mobile banking, especially among younger customers who will wield financial influence in the coming decades. Consider the following data from the BI Intelligence survey of millennials:

  • 71% of millennials say it’s very important to have a banking app, and 60% say it’s very important to have an app to make payments.
  • 51% say that they have made a purchase through a mobile website or through an app in the last month.
  • 27% say they have used their phone to make a payment at a checkout in a store in the last month.
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AI by the Numbers: Funding, China, agribots, analytics, robo-surgery, driverless cars

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Source: Raconteur

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iPhone Digital Tipping Point: Screen time took over active leisure in 2007

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Brookings:

Screen time increasingly dominates our leisure hours, too, according to the annual American Time Use Survey, which is based on a nationally representative sample of individuals aged 15 and older.

“Screen time” and “active leisure” are necessarily hard to precisely define. (For example, reading for leisure was included in “active leisure,” but reading on an e-reader could be thought of as time spent on the screen).

Nonetheless, these data show a clear trend—adult Americans are spending more of their non-work/education time on a screen.

The first iPhone was released June 29, 2007.

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The first mass deployment of driverless taxis will happen by 2020

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BI Intelligence:

Since the start of 2016, automakers, tech companies, and ride-hailing services have been racing to create a driverless taxi service. This service would mirror how an Uber works today, but there wouldn’t be a driver.

So far, the race has been brutal, as companies jockey for position by spending billions to acquire/invest in companies that will help make a driverless taxi service a reality. Uber recently took the pole position by announcing it would begin piloting its self-driving taxi service (with a driver still behind the wheel) in Pittsburgh later this month. But other companies, including almost every automaker, are quickly catching up as we reach the mid-way point in the driverless taxi race…

In a new report, we analyze the fast evolving driverless taxi model and examine the moves companies have made so far in creating a service. In particular, we distill the service into three main players: the automakers who produce the cars, the components suppliers who outfit them to become driverless, and the shared mobility services that provide the platform for consumers to order them.

Here are some of the key takeaways from the report:

  • Fully autonomous taxis are already here, but to reach the point where companies can remove the driver will take a few years. Both Delphi and nuTonomy have been piloting fully autonomous taxi services in Singapore.
  • Driverless taxi services would significantly benefit the companies creating them, but could have a massive ripple effect on the overall economy. They could cause lower traffic levels, less pollution, and safer roads. They could also put millions of people who rely on the taxi, as well as the automotive market, out of a job.
  • We expect the first mass deployment of driverless taxis to happen by 2020. Some government officials have even more aggressive plans to deploy driverless taxis before that, but we believe they will be stymied by technology barriers, including mass infrastructure changes.
  • But it will take 20-plus years for a driverless taxi service to make a significant dent in the way people travel. We believe the services will be launched in select pockets of the world, but will not reach a global level in the same time-frame that most technology proliferates.

 

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