Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning in Focus at Intel Analytics Summit

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Intel Analytics Summit, August 15, 2016 (Source: @MissAmaraKay)

From the most recent edition of the tech bible: Moore’s Law begat faster processing and cheap storage which begat machine learning and big data which begat deep learning and today’s AI Spring. In her opening keynote at the Intel Analytics Summit, which was mostly about machine learning, Intel’s executive vice president Diane Bryant said that we are now “reaching a tipping point where data is the game changer.” (Disclosure: Intel paid my travel expenses).

With the rapid growth of machine-to-machine data exchange we should expect more, according to Bryant: Autonomous vehicles will produce 4 terabytes of data each day, a connected plane will transmit 40 terabytes of data, and the automated, connected factory will generate one petabyte (one million gigabytes) daily.

Another presenter, CB Bohn, Senior Database Engineer at Etsy, the online marketplace, speculated that the tipping point has already happened—when the value of the data exceeded the cost of its storage. Historical data has lots of value left in it, so “why throw it away?” asked Bohn. Cheap storage, added Debora Donato, Director of R&D at Mix Tech, a content discovery platform, has changed the attitudes of businesses towards data and what they can do with it.

Leading-edge enterprises today apply machine learning algorithms to mine and find insights in the ever-expanding data store.  Jason Waxman, corporate vice president and general manager of the data center solutions group at Intel, described how Penn Medicine is improving patient care, using Intel’s TAP open analytics platform. One pilot study focused on sepsis or blood infection which affects more than a million Americans annually and is the ninth leading cause of disease-related deaths and the #1 cause of deaths in intensive care units, according to the Centers for Disease Control (CDC). Penn Medicine was able to correctly identify about 85% of sepsis cases (up from 50%), and made such identifications as much as 30 hours before the onset of septic shock, as opposed to just two hours prior using traditional identification methods.

Saghamitra Deb, Chief Data Scientist at Accenture Technology Labs, talked about using AI to read and annotate documents, a useful machine assistance in many situations. She highlighted textual analysis of clinical trial data that correlates various conditions, leading to new insights and improved personalized medicine.

Candid is a new app that launched recently, applying AI to solve the challenges previous anonymous social platforms could not overcome. CEO Bindu Reddy explained how machine learning helps identify and remove “bad apples”—both inappropriate content and abusers—and recommend relevant groups to Candid users.

Clear Labs differentiate itself by conducting DNA tests that are untargeted and unbiased, aiming to index the world’s food supply and set worldwide standards for “food integrity.” Maria Fernandez Guajardo, vice president of product, described how their molecular analysis of 345 hot dog samples from 75 brands and 10 retailers, discovered that 14.4% of the products tested were “problematic in some way,” mostly because of added ingredients that did not show up on the label. Some consumers, she reported, were especially concerned about hot dogs that claimed to be vegetarians but actually contained meat.

In answer to a question on the future of machine learning from O’Reilly Media’s Ben Lorica, moderator of a panel on distributed analytics, Intel fellow Pradeep Dubey suggested focusing on deep learning as it has been demonstrably successful recently. Michael Franklin of UC Berkeley recommended focusing on machine learning approaches that are usable, understandable and robust, whether of the deep or shallow kind. If an automated system is going to make a decision, he said, “You’d better understand what are the assumptions that went into the data and the algorithms, where does the data you collected differ from those assumptions and how robust is the answer that popped out of the system.”

This was, I believe, a swipe at some of the deep learning practitioners who have admitted publicly that they don’t really understand how their system comes up with its successful results (e.g., Yoshua Bengio: “very often we are in a situation where we do not understand the results of an experiment”). But nothing succeeds like success, whether it is understood or not, and for the last few years deep leaning has become a force of climate change, transforming the AI Winter into the AI Spring.

Pedro Domingos of the University of Washington, in his talk at the event, put the recent resurgence of deep learning in the historical perspective of five different approaches (and solutions) to artificial intelligence: Symbolists (inverse deduction), Connectionists (backpropagation—popular with the deep learning crowd), Evolutionaries (genetic programming), Bayesians (probabilistic inference) and Analogizers (kernel machines). Domingos’ book, The Master Algorithm, is a rallying cry for finding the best of all worlds, the one algorithm that will unite all approaches and provide the answer to life, the universe, and everything.

Before we get to the time when big algorithm will tell us what to do whether we understand it or not, humans are still needed to make sense of all the data they—and the machines—generate. The last panel of the Analytics Summit was, appropriately, a discussion of educating future data scientist. The panelists, executives with Coursera (Emily Glassberg Sands), Kaggle (Anthony Goldboom), Continuum Analytics (Travis Oliphant), Metis (Rumman Chowdhury), and Galvanize (Ryan Orban), moderated by Edd Wilder-James of Silicon Valley Data Science, represented the burgeoning world of data science education.

The good news is that one got the impression that they are now training a vastly expanded pool of people, with very diverse backgrounds and experiences, that either want to become proficient in data analysis or want to be able to speak, as general business managers, the data scientist’s language. The challenge today is not so much the widely-discussed shortage of data scientists but the failure by many companies to effectively integrate and support the work of data scientists. The right internal champion, the panelists agree, one who understands the potential of analytics and machine learning and knows how to get the required resources, is key to the success of the data science team.

Originally published on Forbes.com

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Mobile Banking and Millennials

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BI Intelligence:

The smartphone is becoming the foundation of the future of mobile banking, especially among younger customers who will wield financial influence in the coming decades. Consider the following data from the BI Intelligence survey of millennials:

  • 71% of millennials say it’s very important to have a banking app, and 60% say it’s very important to have an app to make payments.
  • 51% say that they have made a purchase through a mobile website or through an app in the last month.
  • 27% say they have used their phone to make a payment at a checkout in a store in the last month.
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AI by the Numbers: Funding, China, agribots, analytics, robo-surgery, driverless cars

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Source: Raconteur

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iPhone Digital Tipping Point: Screen time took over active leisure in 2007

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Brookings:

Screen time increasingly dominates our leisure hours, too, according to the annual American Time Use Survey, which is based on a nationally representative sample of individuals aged 15 and older.

“Screen time” and “active leisure” are necessarily hard to precisely define. (For example, reading for leisure was included in “active leisure,” but reading on an e-reader could be thought of as time spent on the screen).

Nonetheless, these data show a clear trend—adult Americans are spending more of their non-work/education time on a screen.

The first iPhone was released June 29, 2007.

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The first mass deployment of driverless taxis will happen by 2020

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BI Intelligence:

Since the start of 2016, automakers, tech companies, and ride-hailing services have been racing to create a driverless taxi service. This service would mirror how an Uber works today, but there wouldn’t be a driver.

So far, the race has been brutal, as companies jockey for position by spending billions to acquire/invest in companies that will help make a driverless taxi service a reality. Uber recently took the pole position by announcing it would begin piloting its self-driving taxi service (with a driver still behind the wheel) in Pittsburgh later this month. But other companies, including almost every automaker, are quickly catching up as we reach the mid-way point in the driverless taxi race…

In a new report, we analyze the fast evolving driverless taxi model and examine the moves companies have made so far in creating a service. In particular, we distill the service into three main players: the automakers who produce the cars, the components suppliers who outfit them to become driverless, and the shared mobility services that provide the platform for consumers to order them.

Here are some of the key takeaways from the report:

  • Fully autonomous taxis are already here, but to reach the point where companies can remove the driver will take a few years. Both Delphi and nuTonomy have been piloting fully autonomous taxi services in Singapore.
  • Driverless taxi services would significantly benefit the companies creating them, but could have a massive ripple effect on the overall economy. They could cause lower traffic levels, less pollution, and safer roads. They could also put millions of people who rely on the taxi, as well as the automotive market, out of a job.
  • We expect the first mass deployment of driverless taxis to happen by 2020. Some government officials have even more aggressive plans to deploy driverless taxis before that, but we believe they will be stymied by technology barriers, including mass infrastructure changes.
  • But it will take 20-plus years for a driverless taxi service to make a significant dent in the way people travel. We believe the services will be launched in select pockets of the world, but will not reach a global level in the same time-frame that most technology proliferates.

 

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How AI will change management

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Accenture:

Interpersonal and judgment skills become more essential as AI evolves

AI will shift focus from coordination and control to judgment work, such as strategy and innovation, collaboration, people and community.

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Sharp Increase in Data Loss Due to Insider Threats

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A new Ponemon Institute survey has found that 76% of IT practitioners in the U.S. and Europe say their organizations have suffered the loss or theft of important data over the past two years. This is a significant increase from the 67% reporting data loss or theft in the same survey two years ago.

Here are the other key findings of the survey of 3,027 employees and IT practitioners in the U.S. and Europe, conducted in April and May, 2016, and sponsored by Varonis Systems:

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58% of IT practitioners see outside attackers who compromise insider credentials as the #1 threat, followed by 55% who point to insiders who are negligent, and 44% worrying about malware.

62% of end users say they have access to company data they probably shouldn’t see, with 47% saying such access happens very frequently or frequently. The overall figure (62%) is down from 71% reporting too much access to confidential data in 2014.

Only 29% of IT practitioners report that their organizations enforce a strict least-privilege model to ensure insiders have access to company data on a need-to-know basis.

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88% of end users say their jobs require them to access and use proprietary information such as customer data, contact lists, employee records, financial reports, confidential business documents, or other sensitive information assets. This is significantly higher than the 76% recorded in the 2014 survey.

43% of respondents say they retain and store document or files they created or worked on forever (up from 40% in 2014). Another 25 percent of respondents say they keep documents or files one year or longer.

Only 25% of the organizations surveyed monitor all employee and third-party email and file activity, while 38% do not monitor any file and email activity.

78% of IT practitioners are very concerned about ransomware. 15% of organizations have experienced ransomware and barely half of those detected the attack in the first 24 hours.

35% of the organizations surveyed have no searchable records of file system activity, leaving them unable to determine, among other things, which files have been encrypted by ransomware.

The Ponemon Institute concludes:

The continuing increase in data loss and theft is due in large part to two troubling factors:

  • Compromises in insider accounts that are exacerbated by far wider employee and third-party access to sensitive information than is necessary
  • The continued failure to monitor access and activity around email and file systems – where most confidential and sensitive data moves and lives.

Originally published on Forbes.com

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Internet of Things by the Numbers: Research Updates

iot_webinar_slide6IDC presented on August 4 its annual mid-year IoT review webcast, hosted by Vernon Turner, senior vice president and research fellow for IoT and Carrie MacGillivray, vice president of IoT & Mobile. Here are the highlights:

  • An updated Digital Universe estimate of the amount of data created in the world annually (see above) forecast 180 Zettabytes (or 180 trillion gigabytes) in 2025, up from less than 10 Zettabytes in 2015 and 44 Zettabytes in 2020.
  • Reaching the analytics phase of IoT: The actionable IoT Data–the IoT data that is analyzed and used to change business processes–in 2025 will be as big as all the data created in 2020. To make real time decisions, says IDC, “machine learning becomes important for the machine.”
  • Growth rates: From 2020 to 2025, the volume of traditional data will grow by 2.3x; the volume of data that can be analyzed will grow by 4.8x; and the actionable data will grow by 9.6x.
  • Connected devices: From less than 20 billion today to 30 billion in 2020 to 80 billion in 2025; by 2025, there will be 152,200 new connected devices every minute. “Everything we have of value will be connected to the internet,” says IDC.
  • Current State-of-IoT in the U.S.: $230 billion will be invested in IoT in 2016 growing to $370 billion in 2018; 35% of U.S. companies are in the last 2 stages of IDC’s IoT maturity model; leading use cases are manufacturing operations, fleet management, and smart buildings.
  • Market share of IoT networks in 2020: Wireless LAN/Wi-Fi 60%, Low-Power WAN 25%, Cellular 15%.
  • The end of the self-built IoT platform? IDC thinks that there are between 300 and 400 company-specific IoT platforms. But they see a trend where companies abandon these efforts in favor of focusing on what they do really well. One of the winners this year has been Microsoft and its IoT platform with GE Predix coming to Azure.
  • Other recent trends: Battle for Low-Power WAN market between proprietary solutions such as SIGFOX, LoRA and Ingenu and the ones favored by the cellular operators such as Narrow Band IoT; Applying AI to IoT security and a variety of IoT use cases; 2016 is the year of IoT developer—prominent example being IBM and AT&T’s announcement in July, coupling IBM Watson with AT&T development tools.
  • Industry news: Cisco (IoT group moving organizationally from hardware to software) now has a well- known and established IoT platform, buying Jasper Wireless for $1.4 billion; Softbank buying ARM for $32 billion to take advantage of healthy growth of ARM’s market—their challenge is not to compromise ARM neutrality and fend off possible counter offers by Google or Microsoft.

IDC’s next IoT webinar, on September 22, will provide the results of its survey of 4,100 IoT decision makers in 25 countries.

In other research news, Machina Research released on August 3 its annual guidance on the size of the IoT market opportunity. Highlights:

  • The total number of IoT connections will grow from 6 billion in 2015 to 27 billion in 2025.
  • The total IoT revenue opportunity will be $3 trillion in 2025 (up from $750 billion in 2015). Of this figure, $1.3 trillion will be accounted for by revenue directly derived from end users in the form of devices, connectivity and application revenue. The remainder comes from upstream and downstream IoT-related sources such as application development, systems integration, hosting and data monetization.
  • By 2025, IoT will generate over 2 Zettabytes of data, mostly generated by consumer electronics devices. However, it will account for less than 1% of cellular data traffic. Cellular traffic is particularly generated by digital billboards, in-vehicle connectivity and CCTV.
  • China and the U.S. will be neck-and-neck for dominance of the global market by 2025. China which will account for 21% of global IoT connections, ahead of the U.S. with 20%, with similar proportions for cellular connections. However, the U.S. will still be ahead in terms of IoT revenue (22% vs 19%). Third largest market is Japan with 7% of all connections.
  • Today 71% of all IoT connections are connected using a short range technology (e.g. WiFi, Zigbee, or in-building PLC), by 2025 that will have grown slightly to 72%. The big short-range applications, which cause it to be the dominant technology category, are Consumer Electronics, Building Security and Building Automation.
  • Cellular connections will grow from 334 million at the end of 2015 to 2.2 billion by 2025, of which the majority will be LTE. 45% of those cellular connections will be in the ‘Connected Car’ sector, including both factory-fit embedded connections and aftermarket devices.
  • 11% of connections in 2025 will use Low Power Wide Area (LPWA) connections such as Sigfox, LoRa and LTE-NB1.

Finally, ABI Research also sees machine learning playing an important role in the adoption of IoT by enterprises. It estimates that revenues generated by machine learning-based data analytics tools and services will reach nearly $20 billion in 2021 as Machine-Learning-as-a-Service (MLaaS) models take off.

Originally published on Forbes.com

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Network Map of Top 100 Cyber Security Influencers

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Onalytica:

We were very interested in seeing which Data Security influencers and brands were leading the online discussion, so we analysed  tweets over the last 6 months mentioning the keywords: “data privacy” OR dataprivacy OR “data security” OR datasecurity OR datasec OR “data protection” OR dataprotection. We then identified the top 100 most influential brands and individuals leading the discussion on Twitter. What we discovered was a very engaged community, with much discussion between individuals and brands.

 

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10 VR Startups

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